Earthquakes and Volcanoes II
Andre Willers
27 Feb 2010
Synopsis :
Cities at risk from large Earthquakes (7+ on Richter scale ) in near future (+-5 years)
In order of risk :
Guadalajara (Mexico ) , Juneau (Alaska) , Hawaian Islands , Brasilia (Brazil) , Sao Paulo (Brazil) , Tsunamis in South –Atlantic basin from Mouth of Amazon or South Orkney Islands .
Discussion :
See http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "Earthquakes and Volcanoes"
Basic planetary orbital physics suggests magma spirals from pole-to-pole at 30 degree longitude intervals .
This is very approximate and needs much more research .
Data:
Sumatra : Richter 9 , 105 degrees East Longitude , 2004
Haiti : Richter 7 , 75 degrees West Longitude , 2010
Chile : Richter 8.8 , 75 degrees West Longitude , 2010
Notice that Haiti and Chile earthquakes are on nearly the same longitude . Hence the short time gap .
The threat seems to move Eastwards , but this is not certain .
Corkscrew configuration also means longitude of epicenter will probably drift eastward with increasing latitude .
Expectations :
To the West of Chile or Haiti (75 degrees West.)
1. 75+30 = 105 degrees West. Guadaljara (Mexico )
2. 75+2*30= 135 degrees West. Juneau (Alaska)
3. 75 + 3*30 = 165 degrees West . Hawaian Islands
To the east of Chile or Haiti (75 degrees West.)
4. 75-30 = 45 degrees West. Brasilia (Brazil)
5. 75-30 = 45 degrees West. Sao Paulo (Brazil)
6. 75-30 = 45 degrees West.South Orkney Islands . Tsunami threat to South Atlantic coasts .
7. 75-30 = 45 degrees mouth of the Amazon (Brazil) .
Tsunami threat to Amazon , Orinoco and Congo Rivers , as well as Caribbean , West African , Northern American and Western European shores .
The Misses :
Mercifully , Missouri , LA and Cape Verde should not be too severely affected .
South Africa.
From the 2004 experience , we should expect 1.5 – 2 meter tsunamis at Cape Town from Richter 9 events on 45 degrees West Longitude. . It is doubtful whether local faults will be activated .
Antarctica :
Large tsunamis emanating from the South Orkney Islands , combined with the weakening of the floating ice-pack due to global warming , could have a profound effect on the behaviour of Antarctic glaciers . The sudden fracturing of the ice-packs could remove resistance to glacier-flow . This could well cause ice-surges , causing large tsunamis (10-50 meters) in the South Atlantic Basin . All coastal communities would be wiped out .
Did the earth just move for you , or is it just that surf's up ?
Andre .
Saturday, February 27, 2010
Thursday, February 25, 2010
AntiGravity .
AntiGravity .
Andre Willers
26 Feb 2010
Synopsis:
A simple spin antigravity is adduced.
Discussion :
See http://arxiv.org/abs/1001-0785
Erik Verlinde has shown that one theory of Gravity involves information in holographic shells around the center of gravity .
The Argument:
1.We can shine a light in plane around a mass . This should "push" away holographs of other particles , leading to the perception of reduced gravity . This is very small (if anybody has ever bothered to measure it)
2.We can spin the light , leading to a doubling of the effect .
3..We can put many lights on the rim of a wheel shining outwards , and rotating .
This will give a half-dome of reduced gravity .
4.We can make the freq of light shined of the order Beth(1) . This means it will not be absorbed by any material , and all the energy of the light goes into reducing the gravity .
5.But how to produce Beth(1) radiation ?
This is equivalent to a disequilibrium in the Beth(0) system . We can approximate it with at least five randomly(Beth(0) ) varying freq , combined .. At least some will be Beth(1) . In other words in disequilibrium . )
There are aleph(0) disequilibrium points .
As a first approximation , we can say that 1/5 energy efficiency is true .
This is true , but the proof is rather difficult . See previous posts , or 3Dim for the easy bits. Their thrust against surrounding space-time structures will be unbalanced .
6. This will actually be an inertialess drive , not just antigravity .
Oh Well .
7.Lasers :
They make the process more efficient , by making it crisper .
But you will still have to pump in at least 5 times the energy to get anywhere .
8. To make an AntiGravity Device .
Put at least 5 laser lights of differing freq on the outward rim of a wheel perpendicular to a gravity field .
Fire them up and spin them .
9.Will more laser lights make the algorithm more efficient?
I do not know, and I have doubts that it can be known in a general sense . It will depend on particular instances of geometry .
I will leave the energy calculations to you .
Lightly yours
Andre
Andre Willers
26 Feb 2010
Synopsis:
A simple spin antigravity is adduced.
Discussion :
See http://arxiv.org/abs/1001-0785
Erik Verlinde has shown that one theory of Gravity involves information in holographic shells around the center of gravity .
The Argument:
1.We can shine a light in plane around a mass . This should "push" away holographs of other particles , leading to the perception of reduced gravity . This is very small (if anybody has ever bothered to measure it)
2.We can spin the light , leading to a doubling of the effect .
3..We can put many lights on the rim of a wheel shining outwards , and rotating .
This will give a half-dome of reduced gravity .
4.We can make the freq of light shined of the order Beth(1) . This means it will not be absorbed by any material , and all the energy of the light goes into reducing the gravity .
5.But how to produce Beth(1) radiation ?
This is equivalent to a disequilibrium in the Beth(0) system . We can approximate it with at least five randomly(Beth(0) ) varying freq , combined .. At least some will be Beth(1) . In other words in disequilibrium . )
There are aleph(0) disequilibrium points .
As a first approximation , we can say that 1/5 energy efficiency is true .
This is true , but the proof is rather difficult . See previous posts , or 3Dim for the easy bits. Their thrust against surrounding space-time structures will be unbalanced .
6. This will actually be an inertialess drive , not just antigravity .
Oh Well .
7.Lasers :
They make the process more efficient , by making it crisper .
But you will still have to pump in at least 5 times the energy to get anywhere .
8. To make an AntiGravity Device .
Put at least 5 laser lights of differing freq on the outward rim of a wheel perpendicular to a gravity field .
Fire them up and spin them .
9.Will more laser lights make the algorithm more efficient?
I do not know, and I have doubts that it can be known in a general sense . It will depend on particular instances of geometry .
I will leave the energy calculations to you .
Lightly yours
Andre
Monday, February 22, 2010
Click and Time
Click and Time
Andre Willers
22 Feb 2010
"Time is the Simplest Thing" Clifford Simak
"So much to do , so little time." Cecil Rhodes
"Ask me anything except time ." Napoleon Bonaparte
Synopsis :
What separates the Tick from the Tock is an interval 13 to 30 milliseconds long .
Discussion :
See NewScientist 24 Oct 2009 p32 " The time machine inside your head"
See also previous posts on timing and assembling of sensoriums.
The significance:
The brain processes experiences in bundles about 13 to 30 milliseconds long .
If a datum is in bundle(1) , it is processed as being before data in bundle(2) .
The sensorium smooths it out so the data seems continuous .
Why the spread ?
Because the brains perception of time can speed up or slow down .
Easiest explained by a technique on how to do it .
John Weardon , an experimental psychologist at Keele University in UK , simply entrained subjects by making them listen to 10 seconds of fast clicks at 5 per second .
This resulted in an improvement of performance in tasks involving the CNS of between 10-20 percent . Very significant in competitive situations .(See "Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology" )
White noise had no similar effect .
What is going on ?
Even such a short entrainment squeezes the brain's handling of data into 1000/5=200 milliseconds brackets . Smaller than normal . The individual perceives time to be passing slower than normal , so other mental processes can take place .
The smallest boundary seems to 13 milliseconds , but boundaries up to 30 millisecs seem innate .
But this has to trained . The natural beat seems to be heartbeat . Once a second . The human system seems to hate expending more energy in time-binding than necessary . This leads us to suspect that 1/3 of 1000 millisecs =333 millisecs is a natural upper boundary for the necessary housekeeping tasks .
This is an awfully long time compared the minimum required .
Everybody has experienced this .
In a crisis , you can think faster .
Actually , your CNS is just processing time-bundles in smaller quanta .
Like a movie running in slower motion by snap-shotting at smaller intervals .
And , you can do it at will . But there is a price to pay in terms of neuro-transmitter fatigue .
Click .
Can one click the tongue at 5 times a second ?
Yes . The reflex speed of humans is roughly 1/10 of a second . Plenty of room .
"RRRRR" sound .
This is a very fast fibrillation (muted click) of the tongue . The slowest an individual "R" seems to be about 1 per second (I timed it) . 5 per second can be done in bursts .
So , 10 bursts of "RRRRR" should improve your sports performance in tennis ,hockey , golf etc by about 10-20 percent .
Schizophrenics :
A good portion (at least 1/3) of the brains various systems are devoted simply to keep the sensorium reasonably on track . If data get slotted into the wrong time-frames , it appears to the individual as if external forces control reality , or that he is powerless .
This has actually been duplicated by experiments with video games . A 200 millisec delay was set into a flight game . The brain learned to compensate . When the delay was removed , the brain perceived that the plane was being moved without perception of intent-to-move by the player . A typical schizophrenic experience . (Psychological Science ,vol 12,p532) .
Actual Reflex Speed :
I doubt if a knee-jerk type of reaction speed will be faster . But any signal that has to be processed or can be influenced by the CNS will be slowed down by the timing mechanism . And can be speeded up relative to competitors .
How fast are they really ?
There is no formal training in shortening the quantal data handling capability . There is a lot of anecdotal evidence in the unarmed combat sphere , after decades of training
But we can do it in 10 seconds . Literally .
Ten bursts of "RRRRR" sounds should reprogram your tiny little brain to process data at about 10-20 percent faster than your opponent who doesn't .
It is amusing to note that ethnic groups that have lots of rolling RRRRR's in their language (like the Russians and the French) fare better in sports like tennis.
Please note various war cries like the New Zealand "Haka" . It actually enhances performance significantly .
The inverse .
We should be able to stretch the personal time . This would definitely have an impact on sports like long-distance running . Hampering of running process (a-la-Noakes) would be lessened .
If you can't roar, purr .
Andre.
Andre Willers
22 Feb 2010
"Time is the Simplest Thing" Clifford Simak
"So much to do , so little time." Cecil Rhodes
"Ask me anything except time ." Napoleon Bonaparte
Synopsis :
What separates the Tick from the Tock is an interval 13 to 30 milliseconds long .
Discussion :
See NewScientist 24 Oct 2009 p32 " The time machine inside your head"
See also previous posts on timing and assembling of sensoriums.
The significance:
The brain processes experiences in bundles about 13 to 30 milliseconds long .
If a datum is in bundle(1) , it is processed as being before data in bundle(2) .
The sensorium smooths it out so the data seems continuous .
Why the spread ?
Because the brains perception of time can speed up or slow down .
Easiest explained by a technique on how to do it .
John Weardon , an experimental psychologist at Keele University in UK , simply entrained subjects by making them listen to 10 seconds of fast clicks at 5 per second .
This resulted in an improvement of performance in tasks involving the CNS of between 10-20 percent . Very significant in competitive situations .(See "Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology" )
White noise had no similar effect .
What is going on ?
Even such a short entrainment squeezes the brain's handling of data into 1000/5=200 milliseconds brackets . Smaller than normal . The individual perceives time to be passing slower than normal , so other mental processes can take place .
The smallest boundary seems to 13 milliseconds , but boundaries up to 30 millisecs seem innate .
But this has to trained . The natural beat seems to be heartbeat . Once a second . The human system seems to hate expending more energy in time-binding than necessary . This leads us to suspect that 1/3 of 1000 millisecs =333 millisecs is a natural upper boundary for the necessary housekeeping tasks .
This is an awfully long time compared the minimum required .
Everybody has experienced this .
In a crisis , you can think faster .
Actually , your CNS is just processing time-bundles in smaller quanta .
Like a movie running in slower motion by snap-shotting at smaller intervals .
And , you can do it at will . But there is a price to pay in terms of neuro-transmitter fatigue .
Click .
Can one click the tongue at 5 times a second ?
Yes . The reflex speed of humans is roughly 1/10 of a second . Plenty of room .
"RRRRR" sound .
This is a very fast fibrillation (muted click) of the tongue . The slowest an individual "R" seems to be about 1 per second (I timed it) . 5 per second can be done in bursts .
So , 10 bursts of "RRRRR" should improve your sports performance in tennis ,hockey , golf etc by about 10-20 percent .
Schizophrenics :
A good portion (at least 1/3) of the brains various systems are devoted simply to keep the sensorium reasonably on track . If data get slotted into the wrong time-frames , it appears to the individual as if external forces control reality , or that he is powerless .
This has actually been duplicated by experiments with video games . A 200 millisec delay was set into a flight game . The brain learned to compensate . When the delay was removed , the brain perceived that the plane was being moved without perception of intent-to-move by the player . A typical schizophrenic experience . (Psychological Science ,vol 12,p532) .
Actual Reflex Speed :
I doubt if a knee-jerk type of reaction speed will be faster . But any signal that has to be processed or can be influenced by the CNS will be slowed down by the timing mechanism . And can be speeded up relative to competitors .
How fast are they really ?
There is no formal training in shortening the quantal data handling capability . There is a lot of anecdotal evidence in the unarmed combat sphere , after decades of training
But we can do it in 10 seconds . Literally .
Ten bursts of "RRRRR" sounds should reprogram your tiny little brain to process data at about 10-20 percent faster than your opponent who doesn't .
It is amusing to note that ethnic groups that have lots of rolling RRRRR's in their language (like the Russians and the French) fare better in sports like tennis.
Please note various war cries like the New Zealand "Haka" . It actually enhances performance significantly .
The inverse .
We should be able to stretch the personal time . This would definitely have an impact on sports like long-distance running . Hampering of running process (a-la-Noakes) would be lessened .
If you can't roar, purr .
Andre.
Click and Time
Click and Time
Andre Willers
22 Feb 2010
"Time is the Simplest Thing" Clifford Simak
"So much to do , so little time." Cecil Rhodes
"Ask me anything except time ." Napoleon Bonaparte
Synopsis :
What separates the Tick from the Tock is an interval 13 to 30 milliseconds long .
Discussion :
See NewScientist 24 Oct 2009 p32 " The time machine inside your head"
See also previous posts on timing and assembling of sensoriums.
The significance:
The brain processes experiences in bundles about 13 to 30 milliseconds long .
If a datum is in bundle(1) , it is processed as being before data in bundle(2) .
The sensorium smooths it out so the data seems continuous .
Why the spread ?
Because the brains perception of time can speed up or slow down .
Easiest explained by a technique on how to do it .
John Weardon , an experimental psychologist at Keele University in UK , simply entrained subjects by making them listen to 10 seconds of fast clicks at 5 per second .
This resulted in an improvement of performance in tasks involving the CNS of between 10-20 percent . Very significant in competitive situations .(See "Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology" )
White noise had no similar effect .
What is going on ?
Even such a short entrainment squeezes the brain's handling of data into 1000/5=200 milliseconds brackets . Smaller than normal . The individual perceives time to be passing slower than normal , so other mental processes can take place .
The smallest boundary seems to 13 milliseconds , but boundaries up to 30 millisecs seem innate .
But this has to trained . The natural beat seems to be heartbeat . Once a second . The human system seems to hate expending more energy in time-binding than necessary . This leads us to suspect that 1/3 of 1000 millisecs =333 millisecs is a natural upper boundary for the necessary housekeeping tasks .
This is an awfully long time compared the minimum required .
Everybody has experienced this .
In a crisis , you can think faster .
Actually , your CNS is just processing time-bundles in smaller quanta .
Like a movie running in slower motion by snap-shotting at smaller intervals .
And , you can do it at will . But there is a price to pay in terms of neuro-transmitter fatigue .
Click .
Can one click the tongue at 5 times a second ?
Yes . The reflex speed of humans is roughly 1/10 of a second . Plenty of room .
"RRRRR" sound .
This is a very fast fibrillation (muted click) of the tongue . The slowest an individual "R" seems to be about 1 per second (I timed it) . 5 per second can be done in bursts .
So , 10 bursts of "RRRRR" should improve your sports performance in tennis ,hockey , golf etc by about 10-20 percent .
Schizophrenics :
A good portion (at least 1/3) of the brains various systems are devoted simply to keep the sensorium reasonably on track . If data get slotted into the wrong time-frames , it appears to the individual as if external forces control reality , or that he is powerless .
This has actually been duplicated by experiments with video games . A 200 millisec delay was set into a flight game . The brain learned to compensate . When the delay was removed , the brain perceived that the plane was being moved without perception of intent-to-move by the player . A typical schizophrenic experience . (Psychological Science ,vol 12,p532) .
Actual Reflex Speed :
I doubt if a knee-jerk type of reaction speed will be faster . But any signal that has to be processed or can be influenced by the CNS will be slowed down by the timing mechanism . And can be speeded up relative to competitors .
How fast are they really ?
There is no formal training in shortening the quantal data handling capability . There is a lot of anecdotal evidence in the unarmed combat sphere , after decades of training
But we can do it in 10 seconds . Literally .
Ten bursts of "RRRRR" sounds should reprogram your tiny little brain to process data at about 10-20 percent faster than your opponent who doesn't .
It is amusing to note that ethnic groups that have lots of rolling RRRRR's in their language (like the Russians and the French) fare better in sports like tennis.
Please note various war cries like the New Zealand "Haka" . It actually enhances performance significantly .
The inverse .
We should be able to stretch the personal time . This would definitely have an impact on sports like long-distance running . Hampering of running process (a-la-Noakes) would be lessened .
If you can't roar, purr .
Andre.
Andre Willers
22 Feb 2010
"Time is the Simplest Thing" Clifford Simak
"So much to do , so little time." Cecil Rhodes
"Ask me anything except time ." Napoleon Bonaparte
Synopsis :
What separates the Tick from the Tock is an interval 13 to 30 milliseconds long .
Discussion :
See NewScientist 24 Oct 2009 p32 " The time machine inside your head"
See also previous posts on timing and assembling of sensoriums.
The significance:
The brain processes experiences in bundles about 13 to 30 milliseconds long .
If a datum is in bundle(1) , it is processed as being before data in bundle(2) .
The sensorium smooths it out so the data seems continuous .
Why the spread ?
Because the brains perception of time can speed up or slow down .
Easiest explained by a technique on how to do it .
John Weardon , an experimental psychologist at Keele University in UK , simply entrained subjects by making them listen to 10 seconds of fast clicks at 5 per second .
This resulted in an improvement of performance in tasks involving the CNS of between 10-20 percent . Very significant in competitive situations .(See "Quarterly Journal of Experimental Psychology" )
White noise had no similar effect .
What is going on ?
Even such a short entrainment squeezes the brain's handling of data into 1000/5=200 milliseconds brackets . Smaller than normal . The individual perceives time to be passing slower than normal , so other mental processes can take place .
The smallest boundary seems to 13 milliseconds , but boundaries up to 30 millisecs seem innate .
But this has to trained . The natural beat seems to be heartbeat . Once a second . The human system seems to hate expending more energy in time-binding than necessary . This leads us to suspect that 1/3 of 1000 millisecs =333 millisecs is a natural upper boundary for the necessary housekeeping tasks .
This is an awfully long time compared the minimum required .
Everybody has experienced this .
In a crisis , you can think faster .
Actually , your CNS is just processing time-bundles in smaller quanta .
Like a movie running in slower motion by snap-shotting at smaller intervals .
And , you can do it at will . But there is a price to pay in terms of neuro-transmitter fatigue .
Click .
Can one click the tongue at 5 times a second ?
Yes . The reflex speed of humans is roughly 1/10 of a second . Plenty of room .
"RRRRR" sound .
This is a very fast fibrillation (muted click) of the tongue . The slowest an individual "R" seems to be about 1 per second (I timed it) . 5 per second can be done in bursts .
So , 10 bursts of "RRRRR" should improve your sports performance in tennis ,hockey , golf etc by about 10-20 percent .
Schizophrenics :
A good portion (at least 1/3) of the brains various systems are devoted simply to keep the sensorium reasonably on track . If data get slotted into the wrong time-frames , it appears to the individual as if external forces control reality , or that he is powerless .
This has actually been duplicated by experiments with video games . A 200 millisec delay was set into a flight game . The brain learned to compensate . When the delay was removed , the brain perceived that the plane was being moved without perception of intent-to-move by the player . A typical schizophrenic experience . (Psychological Science ,vol 12,p532) .
Actual Reflex Speed :
I doubt if a knee-jerk type of reaction speed will be faster . But any signal that has to be processed or can be influenced by the CNS will be slowed down by the timing mechanism . And can be speeded up relative to competitors .
How fast are they really ?
There is no formal training in shortening the quantal data handling capability . There is a lot of anecdotal evidence in the unarmed combat sphere , after decades of training
But we can do it in 10 seconds . Literally .
Ten bursts of "RRRRR" sounds should reprogram your tiny little brain to process data at about 10-20 percent faster than your opponent who doesn't .
It is amusing to note that ethnic groups that have lots of rolling RRRRR's in their language (like the Russians and the French) fare better in sports like tennis.
Please note various war cries like the New Zealand "Haka" . It actually enhances performance significantly .
The inverse .
We should be able to stretch the personal time . This would definitely have an impact on sports like long-distance running . Hampering of running process (a-la-Noakes) would be lessened .
If you can't roar, purr .
Andre.
The Beauty of the Genetic Code .
The Beauty of the Genetic Code .
Andre Willers
22 Feb 2010
Synopsis:
The present TerraIII genetic code is elegantly optimized to give the most robustness possible per unit of information .
Discussion :
You have to be familiar with the concepts in:
1. http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "NewTools:Reserves" and Beth(n) orders of Randomness .
2.NewScientist of 23 Jan 2010 p34 "Another kind of evolution"
Brief recap of Reserves argument :
We take any identifiable entity , slice and dice it with an order of randomness like that of a coin (ie Beth(0) ) . We then calculate a minimum reserve (which is equivalent to the least errors of all possible Beth(0) paths per benefit . )
This works out at 1/3 on the average over Aleph(0) infinities .
The Beauty of the Genetic Code :
Four Base pairs (A,U,C,G) in triplet codons give a possible 4*4*4 = 64 codons .
But together , they code only for 20 amino acids , plus a Stop and a Semi-Start .
This gives
20/64 = 31.22% for 20 amino acids
21/64 = 32.81% for 20 amino acids + Stop
21.3333…/64 = 33.3333… for 20 amino acids + Stop + Semi-Start
22/64 = 34.375 %
Stop = (UGG) , (UGA) , (UAG) ,
Start = (AUG) , but this also codes for methionine . Hence the decimal notation . The system cannot come closer to 1/3 because of quantal considerations . Try it and see .
This also is the portal for the Epigenetic System ( note use of methiolization) .
Beautiful !!
Consider the ways of Gaia .
Linear and Sideways evolution .
Linear :
The standard , gene and chromosome based inheritance
Equivalent to Beth(1+x) in our notation .
1>= x >=0
Sideways :
Genetic material exchanged without going through all that genotype-phenotype procedures .
Equivalent to Beth(1-x) in our notation .
1>= x >=0
Note that the system could not possibly get as close to the optimum reserve without this stage .
Designer:
The Breeder , genetic engineer .
Equivalent to Beth(2+x) in our notation . Humans or proto-humans .
Infinity>= x >=0
This gives a full spectrum of Beth capabilities .
(Negative Beth is outside the scope of this discussion)
Singularities
You will notice that the system becomes chaotically unstable as x->0 from any direction . At that point , the system will exhibit symptoms of great stress and bifurcation . Once over the hump , it steadies either in an evolutionary manner (in
Probability = 1 - ( Beth(n+1)/Beth(n) ) ^0.5 . Admittedly a rough estimate .)
Or in a devolutionary manner , evolutionary manner here described as degrees of complexity .
Stable Gene Engineering :
1.Keep the same Triple-Base Codon Cell-Machinery .
The easiest . Existing cells can be used . Increase the number of bases to 5 .
Then we can optimally reliable make 1/3*5^3 = 40 amino acids + stop + semistart .
Different kinds of Stop and Start would be advisable .
So , maybe 18 new amino acids + 2 different types of Stop + SemiStarts
This would not even be hard .
Well within present technological capability .
(Wanna make an animal with a Kevlar skin ? Well , you can using this method .)
The system would even be self-assembling under the right condition . The main thing is the optimal stability .
This is already evolving as we speak . There a fifth base occasionally involved . So there is a fruitful interaction point .
2.Make 4-Base Codon Cell-Machinery .
A real remake . Not within human capability at the moment .
3.General :
nAminoAcids + nStops + nStarts = 1/3 * ( (nDNA-bases) ^ (nBasesPerCodon) )
where the prefix n denotes "number of"
A further stability would be introduced if nStarts ~ 1/3 * nStops in a fractal fashion .
This because life-forms evolve in a pedal-to-the-metal fashion . The problems are the brakes .
There is a relationship between the Beth level and the nBasesPerCodon . The minimum number sufficient for Beth(2+) is nBasesPerCodon=3 .
Else there is insufficient complexity .
Now go out there and evolve !
Andre .
Andre Willers
22 Feb 2010
Synopsis:
The present TerraIII genetic code is elegantly optimized to give the most robustness possible per unit of information .
Discussion :
You have to be familiar with the concepts in:
1. http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "NewTools:Reserves" and Beth(n) orders of Randomness .
2.NewScientist of 23 Jan 2010 p34 "Another kind of evolution"
Brief recap of Reserves argument :
We take any identifiable entity , slice and dice it with an order of randomness like that of a coin (ie Beth(0) ) . We then calculate a minimum reserve (which is equivalent to the least errors of all possible Beth(0) paths per benefit . )
This works out at 1/3 on the average over Aleph(0) infinities .
The Beauty of the Genetic Code :
Four Base pairs (A,U,C,G) in triplet codons give a possible 4*4*4 = 64 codons .
But together , they code only for 20 amino acids , plus a Stop and a Semi-Start .
This gives
20/64 = 31.22% for 20 amino acids
21/64 = 32.81% for 20 amino acids + Stop
21.3333…/64 = 33.3333… for 20 amino acids + Stop + Semi-Start
22/64 = 34.375 %
Stop = (UGG) , (UGA) , (UAG) ,
Start = (AUG) , but this also codes for methionine . Hence the decimal notation . The system cannot come closer to 1/3 because of quantal considerations . Try it and see .
This also is the portal for the Epigenetic System ( note use of methiolization) .
Beautiful !!
Consider the ways of Gaia .
Linear and Sideways evolution .
Linear :
The standard , gene and chromosome based inheritance
Equivalent to Beth(1+x) in our notation .
1>= x >=0
Sideways :
Genetic material exchanged without going through all that genotype-phenotype procedures .
Equivalent to Beth(1-x) in our notation .
1>= x >=0
Note that the system could not possibly get as close to the optimum reserve without this stage .
Designer:
The Breeder , genetic engineer .
Equivalent to Beth(2+x) in our notation . Humans or proto-humans .
Infinity>= x >=0
This gives a full spectrum of Beth capabilities .
(Negative Beth is outside the scope of this discussion)
Singularities
You will notice that the system becomes chaotically unstable as x->0 from any direction . At that point , the system will exhibit symptoms of great stress and bifurcation . Once over the hump , it steadies either in an evolutionary manner (in
Probability = 1 - ( Beth(n+1)/Beth(n) ) ^0.5 . Admittedly a rough estimate .)
Or in a devolutionary manner , evolutionary manner here described as degrees of complexity .
Stable Gene Engineering :
1.Keep the same Triple-Base Codon Cell-Machinery .
The easiest . Existing cells can be used . Increase the number of bases to 5 .
Then we can optimally reliable make 1/3*5^3 = 40 amino acids + stop + semistart .
Different kinds of Stop and Start would be advisable .
So , maybe 18 new amino acids + 2 different types of Stop + SemiStarts
This would not even be hard .
Well within present technological capability .
(Wanna make an animal with a Kevlar skin ? Well , you can using this method .)
The system would even be self-assembling under the right condition . The main thing is the optimal stability .
This is already evolving as we speak . There a fifth base occasionally involved . So there is a fruitful interaction point .
2.Make 4-Base Codon Cell-Machinery .
A real remake . Not within human capability at the moment .
3.General :
nAminoAcids + nStops + nStarts = 1/3 * ( (nDNA-bases) ^ (nBasesPerCodon) )
where the prefix n denotes "number of"
A further stability would be introduced if nStarts ~ 1/3 * nStops in a fractal fashion .
This because life-forms evolve in a pedal-to-the-metal fashion . The problems are the brakes .
There is a relationship between the Beth level and the nBasesPerCodon . The minimum number sufficient for Beth(2+) is nBasesPerCodon=3 .
Else there is insufficient complexity .
Now go out there and evolve !
Andre .
DiabetesII - Glucose dialogue .
DiabetesII - Glucose dialogue .
Andre Willers
18 Feb 2010
Consult your physician .
The author is not liable under any circumstances .
By reading further , you accept these conditions .
Synopsis :
A dialogue model using a variation of glucose concentrations to entrain metabolic energy functions is adduced .
Discussion :
See:
http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "Whatever happened to nomads?" , "New Tools-Reserves" , "Phene System" , et al .
Argument:
1.The phene systems in the cell-walls are meta-controls on the concentrations and changes in concentrations of glucose molecules and insulin molecules .
They sit there and count . They also control the access the insulin molecule has to the cell-wall portals to allow glucose molecules into the cell .
There is a lot of them , and they consult (via viruses , as discussed) . This is the equivalent of a committee .
2.The Ratchet :
There are a series of optimal energy reserves , expressed as concentrations of glucose
This is caused by the committee system in the phene structures .
See Anneure A
The relative values can be expressed by
y= (1/3)^n , where n is the optimization level . These form a series of ridges in the probability space . The system optimizes around these ridges . (They can also be expressed as attractors)
If the glucose-insulin system wanders too far from a Ridge(n) , and if the glucose is higher , the system will ratchet up to Ridge(n+1) . Insulin resistance develops .
The body cannot ratchet down without very specific stand-down instructions .
This is an evolutionary mechanism .
Hence the development of diabetesII in the elderly .
3.How to Ratchet down .
We use the optimal ridge for each optimal reserve .
The phene system sits and sums over time and space .
The time summation is the most important (ie how much and how fast you eat ) .
The most fruitful point of attack seems to be on the 4th order :
(1/3)^4 = 0.0123456790…
As discussed , about 5 points are fairly ok .
The above expression then means
1/100 + 2/1000 + 3/10000 + 4/100000 + 5/10000000
We convert this ratio into ratio's of concentrations of glucose .
1+2+3+4+5 =15 units
And we vary the volume of the concentrate to get intake .
Remember , we can use any numeric base . It is the ratio of concentrations that triggers the phene response .
Hence the previous recommendation , but do not use sugar . Glucose is much better , as the change in blood-concentration of glucose is blurred by the low GI of fructose in sugar .
Time gap :
See research on neural perception (NewScientist 24 Oct 2009 p32 "The Time Machine inside your head") , as well as previous posts , especially on "Click" .
There is an optimal period for neural systems to learn (at least 30 millisecs ) between changes . Ie between sips . But not more than 1/10 th of a second for a normal person for optimal effect .
Schizoprenics should not use this method without qualified medical supervision .
Or at least 2 seconds between each sip . Or the sip will take them .
DiabetesII
Dissolve 15 gm (3 tsp of glucose) into 150 (half-cup) of water .
Sip first 50 ml (3 tbs + 1tsp ) ,
then 40 ml(2 tbs +2 tsp)
then 30 ml(2 tbs +0 tsp)
then 20ml(1 tbs +1 tsp)
then 10 ml (2 tsp)
This will get the attention of the system .
But what will it do ?
It should initiate stand-down sequences , making the cell-walls more receptive to insulin molecule throughput .
But more experimentation is needed .
Diabetics should not use this method without qualified medical supervision .
The effect can be very severe , especially on those on insulin or insulin enhancing medication .
Sweetly yours
Andre.
Annexure A
Reserves
Order 1/3
1 0.333333333333333
2 0.111111111111111
3 0.037037037037037
4 0.012345679012346
5 0.004115226337449
6 0.001371742112483
7 0.000457247370828
8 0.000152415790276
9 0.000050805263425
10 0.000016935087808
11 0.000005645029269
12 0.000001881676423
13 0.000000627225474
14 0.000000209075158
15 0.000000069691719
16 0.000000023230573
sum 0.499999988384713
Andre Willers
18 Feb 2010
Consult your physician .
The author is not liable under any circumstances .
By reading further , you accept these conditions .
Synopsis :
A dialogue model using a variation of glucose concentrations to entrain metabolic energy functions is adduced .
Discussion :
See:
http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "Whatever happened to nomads?" , "New Tools-Reserves" , "Phene System" , et al .
Argument:
1.The phene systems in the cell-walls are meta-controls on the concentrations and changes in concentrations of glucose molecules and insulin molecules .
They sit there and count . They also control the access the insulin molecule has to the cell-wall portals to allow glucose molecules into the cell .
There is a lot of them , and they consult (via viruses , as discussed) . This is the equivalent of a committee .
2.The Ratchet :
There are a series of optimal energy reserves , expressed as concentrations of glucose
This is caused by the committee system in the phene structures .
See Anneure A
The relative values can be expressed by
y= (1/3)^n , where n is the optimization level . These form a series of ridges in the probability space . The system optimizes around these ridges . (They can also be expressed as attractors)
If the glucose-insulin system wanders too far from a Ridge(n) , and if the glucose is higher , the system will ratchet up to Ridge(n+1) . Insulin resistance develops .
The body cannot ratchet down without very specific stand-down instructions .
This is an evolutionary mechanism .
Hence the development of diabetesII in the elderly .
3.How to Ratchet down .
We use the optimal ridge for each optimal reserve .
The phene system sits and sums over time and space .
The time summation is the most important (ie how much and how fast you eat ) .
The most fruitful point of attack seems to be on the 4th order :
(1/3)^4 = 0.0123456790…
As discussed , about 5 points are fairly ok .
The above expression then means
1/100 + 2/1000 + 3/10000 + 4/100000 + 5/10000000
We convert this ratio into ratio's of concentrations of glucose .
1+2+3+4+5 =15 units
And we vary the volume of the concentrate to get intake .
Remember , we can use any numeric base . It is the ratio of concentrations that triggers the phene response .
Hence the previous recommendation , but do not use sugar . Glucose is much better , as the change in blood-concentration of glucose is blurred by the low GI of fructose in sugar .
Time gap :
See research on neural perception (NewScientist 24 Oct 2009 p32 "The Time Machine inside your head") , as well as previous posts , especially on "Click" .
There is an optimal period for neural systems to learn (at least 30 millisecs ) between changes . Ie between sips . But not more than 1/10 th of a second for a normal person for optimal effect .
Schizoprenics should not use this method without qualified medical supervision .
Or at least 2 seconds between each sip . Or the sip will take them .
DiabetesII
Dissolve 15 gm (3 tsp of glucose) into 150 (half-cup) of water .
Sip first 50 ml (3 tbs + 1tsp ) ,
then 40 ml(2 tbs +2 tsp)
then 30 ml(2 tbs +0 tsp)
then 20ml(1 tbs +1 tsp)
then 10 ml (2 tsp)
This will get the attention of the system .
But what will it do ?
It should initiate stand-down sequences , making the cell-walls more receptive to insulin molecule throughput .
But more experimentation is needed .
Diabetics should not use this method without qualified medical supervision .
The effect can be very severe , especially on those on insulin or insulin enhancing medication .
Sweetly yours
Andre.
Annexure A
Reserves
Order 1/3
1 0.333333333333333
2 0.111111111111111
3 0.037037037037037
4 0.012345679012346
5 0.004115226337449
6 0.001371742112483
7 0.000457247370828
8 0.000152415790276
9 0.000050805263425
10 0.000016935087808
11 0.000005645029269
12 0.000001881676423
13 0.000000627225474
14 0.000000209075158
15 0.000000069691719
16 0.000000023230573
sum 0.499999988384713
Monday, February 15, 2010
Electromagnetic-wave Black Holes : a critical new technology .
Electromagnetic-wave Black Holes : a critical new technology .
Andre Willers
15 Feb 2010
Synopsis :
Actual microwave EM blackholes have been created , using metamaterials . These metamaterials can be easily and cheaply replicated using 3D printers .
This enables cheap Maxwell's Demons .
Discussion:
Sources:
Newscientist 24 Oct 2009 p15 "Table-top black holes made on Earth"
Applied Physics Letters vol95 , pp041106 by Narimanov and Kildishev.
http://arxiv.org/abs/0910.2159v1 by Tie and Qiang of the Southeastern University , Nanjing . They built the actual device .
The Device:
Call it a Naktiq device after the inventors .
A metamaterial is manufactured that fairly smoothly increases the electric-permittivity from the outer skin to the core of a cylinder . This bends the electrical component of the Electro-magnetic Wave to spiral into the core .
This material is of a fine structure , hence very amenable to 3D printing .
Already done for microwaves , which are fairly long wave-length and where a fairly coarse physical structure is sufficient .
Maxwell's Daemons :
Originally postulated as a method of separating high-temperature molecules from lower temperature molecules .
Passing an ionized particle stream through a matrix of these Naktiq Devices will separate high-energy and low-energy EM waves precisely according to the design of the metamaterial .
Can useful Work be done ?
Yes . As long as there is a large heat-pool as external source .
The existence proof :
Create vertical cylinders of the Naktiq Device , in a large pool with no pumping .
Random particle movement would lead to entrapment of the lower energy bands , which will be cooler and sink . The outer remainders , being hotter by definition , will rise .
This can be exploited without any operating energy expenditure .
Hence , useful work can be extracted by the Naktiq Device from a large heat pool .
Ram-Jets without fuel .
A Ram-jet based on this Naktiq Device will eject two differentiated gas-streams :
1. The high-temperature exhaust can be configured by engine design to impart thrust to the motor . Simple jet-thrust .
2.The low-temperature exhaust can be channeled to flow above the wings . This will give amazing lift (VTOL due to pressure differentials caused by temperature differentials) or far behind the plane (at high speed)
Conservation of Energy:
The kinetic energy/time of the plane and air-resistence balances the work performed .
Over a certain critical speed , a Plane and Naktiq Device of this nature will be self-sustaining while it is in an atmospheric pool of heat .
But the atmospheric pool of heat will slowly decrease as energy is used by all the planes .
In the present Terra case (2010) , this is desirable to decrease global warming .
(You can work out for yourself where all the energy of each flight goes .
Hint : the planet itself will act as buffer of kinetic energies . When the energy discrepancies between planes landing and taking off from Los Angeles airport threatens to destabilize the San Andreas Fault , reconsider and replan.)
Dynamos.
We can simply put a Naktiq Device at the end of a helicopter-like rotor and turn an electric generator .
Cheap copters.
Or we can put them at the end of copter rotors .
Biologics .
Micro-and nano-structures of this sort are to be expected in biological structures .
1.Mitochondria
An actual rotating structure that uses Naktiq Devices for energy pumping and differentiation .
2.Folded proteins :
Quantum energy levels are biased according to sheets of materials biasedly emitting and absorbing EM energies at close range . To make it more interesting , the critical values change after each energy-packet interchange . You need at least Beth(1) to understand what is going on . and there is a strong suspicion that the system is upwardly-generating . The levels of Beth increase without limit .
3.Therapeutics.
Cellular systems use infrared for a large range of housekeeping communication tasks .
Infrared Naktiq Devices can be used to exactly interrupt or reprogram certain processes .
Eg : simply flooding the surrounding spaces of a tumour with Infrared Naktiq Devices will stop it dead in it's tracks .
Femto , Pico etc scales .
The same principle can be used . For human use , we would use the "cooler" exhaust and the "metamaterial" would be Beth patterns in the space-time structure , created by particle exchanges in certain specific patterns . The heat-pool would be the quantum particle foam . Cf cosmic radiation .
Very Large Scale :
Imagine a dust cloud in a Galactic swirl . Naktiq Devices will definitely form , since they are a simple geometric form of molecules .
A certain percentage of Naktiq Devices will clump together because of the energy differentiation .
The process is iterated .The remainder after a few billion years is low-energy matter and anemic energy , with large gulfs separating much higher energy systems expanding at much higher pseudo-speeds .
Something like the observable universe today .
Is even one instance of Naktiq Devices replicable ? I have to say yes , because of prions . Simple molecular foldings are replicable .
In the totality of billions of galaxies and trillions of gas clouds , there would be a massive increase in replicable Naktiq Devices
Replicable devices inevitably lead to escalation on the Beth axis : ie intelligence .
So we have the delicious conclusion that the effects ascribed to Dark Mass and Dark Energy are actually a measure of the Intelligence in a galaxy .
Something a student of history has long suspected : human intelligence can only be measured in cosmological terms .
But an Intelligence Naktiq Device , self-replicating . Roll on the Singularity !
Smartly yours
Andre
Andre Willers
15 Feb 2010
Synopsis :
Actual microwave EM blackholes have been created , using metamaterials . These metamaterials can be easily and cheaply replicated using 3D printers .
This enables cheap Maxwell's Demons .
Discussion:
Sources:
Newscientist 24 Oct 2009 p15 "Table-top black holes made on Earth"
Applied Physics Letters vol95 , pp041106 by Narimanov and Kildishev.
http://arxiv.org/abs/0910.2159v1 by Tie and Qiang of the Southeastern University , Nanjing . They built the actual device .
The Device:
Call it a Naktiq device after the inventors .
A metamaterial is manufactured that fairly smoothly increases the electric-permittivity from the outer skin to the core of a cylinder . This bends the electrical component of the Electro-magnetic Wave to spiral into the core .
This material is of a fine structure , hence very amenable to 3D printing .
Already done for microwaves , which are fairly long wave-length and where a fairly coarse physical structure is sufficient .
Maxwell's Daemons :
Originally postulated as a method of separating high-temperature molecules from lower temperature molecules .
Passing an ionized particle stream through a matrix of these Naktiq Devices will separate high-energy and low-energy EM waves precisely according to the design of the metamaterial .
Can useful Work be done ?
Yes . As long as there is a large heat-pool as external source .
The existence proof :
Create vertical cylinders of the Naktiq Device , in a large pool with no pumping .
Random particle movement would lead to entrapment of the lower energy bands , which will be cooler and sink . The outer remainders , being hotter by definition , will rise .
This can be exploited without any operating energy expenditure .
Hence , useful work can be extracted by the Naktiq Device from a large heat pool .
Ram-Jets without fuel .
A Ram-jet based on this Naktiq Device will eject two differentiated gas-streams :
1. The high-temperature exhaust can be configured by engine design to impart thrust to the motor . Simple jet-thrust .
2.The low-temperature exhaust can be channeled to flow above the wings . This will give amazing lift (VTOL due to pressure differentials caused by temperature differentials) or far behind the plane (at high speed)
Conservation of Energy:
The kinetic energy/time of the plane and air-resistence balances the work performed .
Over a certain critical speed , a Plane and Naktiq Device of this nature will be self-sustaining while it is in an atmospheric pool of heat .
But the atmospheric pool of heat will slowly decrease as energy is used by all the planes .
In the present Terra case (2010) , this is desirable to decrease global warming .
(You can work out for yourself where all the energy of each flight goes .
Hint : the planet itself will act as buffer of kinetic energies . When the energy discrepancies between planes landing and taking off from Los Angeles airport threatens to destabilize the San Andreas Fault , reconsider and replan.)
Dynamos.
We can simply put a Naktiq Device at the end of a helicopter-like rotor and turn an electric generator .
Cheap copters.
Or we can put them at the end of copter rotors .
Biologics .
Micro-and nano-structures of this sort are to be expected in biological structures .
1.Mitochondria
An actual rotating structure that uses Naktiq Devices for energy pumping and differentiation .
2.Folded proteins :
Quantum energy levels are biased according to sheets of materials biasedly emitting and absorbing EM energies at close range . To make it more interesting , the critical values change after each energy-packet interchange . You need at least Beth(1) to understand what is going on . and there is a strong suspicion that the system is upwardly-generating . The levels of Beth increase without limit .
3.Therapeutics.
Cellular systems use infrared for a large range of housekeeping communication tasks .
Infrared Naktiq Devices can be used to exactly interrupt or reprogram certain processes .
Eg : simply flooding the surrounding spaces of a tumour with Infrared Naktiq Devices will stop it dead in it's tracks .
Femto , Pico etc scales .
The same principle can be used . For human use , we would use the "cooler" exhaust and the "metamaterial" would be Beth patterns in the space-time structure , created by particle exchanges in certain specific patterns . The heat-pool would be the quantum particle foam . Cf cosmic radiation .
Very Large Scale :
Imagine a dust cloud in a Galactic swirl . Naktiq Devices will definitely form , since they are a simple geometric form of molecules .
A certain percentage of Naktiq Devices will clump together because of the energy differentiation .
The process is iterated .The remainder after a few billion years is low-energy matter and anemic energy , with large gulfs separating much higher energy systems expanding at much higher pseudo-speeds .
Something like the observable universe today .
Is even one instance of Naktiq Devices replicable ? I have to say yes , because of prions . Simple molecular foldings are replicable .
In the totality of billions of galaxies and trillions of gas clouds , there would be a massive increase in replicable Naktiq Devices
Replicable devices inevitably lead to escalation on the Beth axis : ie intelligence .
So we have the delicious conclusion that the effects ascribed to Dark Mass and Dark Energy are actually a measure of the Intelligence in a galaxy .
Something a student of history has long suspected : human intelligence can only be measured in cosmological terms .
But an Intelligence Naktiq Device , self-replicating . Roll on the Singularity !
Smartly yours
Andre
Sunday, February 14, 2010
Salute to a Hero : George Herbert Walter Bush
Salute to a Hero : George Herbert Walter Bush
Andre Willers
1 Feb 2010
Synopsis :
Bush Snr saved hundreds of millions of lives by deciding to intervene in the Russian succession struggle in 1992 , against the advice of his generals .
A nuclear replay of WWI was avoided .
Discussion :
Ever wonder why the most heavily armed nation in history collapsed without even a token defence ?
The NSA of the US had decisively subverted the Command-and-Control structures of the Russian and Warsaw-pact countries through electronic means . See "Time" magazine articles at the time .
But it was a once-off .
Using it meant that countermeasures can (and was taken)
A crushing military victory could be obtained . But at the cost of literally hundreds of millions of casualties and slagged countries .
And there was no guarantee that the USSR's Strategic Rocket Forces will not become involved .
Then the casualties would have been in the billions , all over the world .
The Kicker (why he got the big bucks)
George Herbert Walter Bush (b1941) overruled his General Staff and ordered that full covert and overt support be given to the legitimate Russian Government .
The attempted coup by Spetznaz armoured forces around Moscow ended up being steered in circles , after electronic commands being subverted by NSA .
The Warsaw-Pact troops had always been on 72-hour standby .
The actual order to mobilize and attack had been given .
They were mobilizing in their usual slapdash fashion , but no Weapons of Mass Destruction had been released to forward troops .
The Warsaw-Pact order of battle is now available on the Internet .
It always involved the early release of ABC(Atomic,Bacteriological,Chemical) weapons within the first 48 hours .
Shevardnadze flew down Warsaw-pact headquarters . Between his political bludgeoning and the US subversion of commands , the attack never got started .
But it was a close-run thing .
Once the control of ABC weapons were released , a rerun of WWI (only more terrible) was unavoidable .
Europe would be a wasteland today .
The bacteriological weapons for livestock and plants would also have spread planetwide . Tactical nukes would have obliterated transport systems (especially airports) . This means that no help would have been available .
What do you know !
The systems actually learned something .
It did not happen .
Hero!
Regardless of what else he did or did not do , for this George Herbert Walter Bush will be considered a Hero in future .
For saving lives in the hundreds of millions and green treasure in billions of plants .
The Oath :
Note that US soldiers swear to
"Life , Liberty , the Pursuit of Happiness and the Constitution of the United States "
One of the reasons for the success of the USA is that it is a principle , not a country .
Saving other people's lives is fit , good and proper .
This is exactly what George Herbert Walter Bush did .
He upheld honor
He is also one of the few moderns that can say with some justification :
"Si monumentes requires , circumspice ."
Look at what is not there . The wastelands and blasted inhabitants .
Cf Mandela and De Klerk , much as it pains me to admit it .
PS . I don't do panegyrics .
Bush deserves his kudo's .
Andre .
Andre Willers
1 Feb 2010
Synopsis :
Bush Snr saved hundreds of millions of lives by deciding to intervene in the Russian succession struggle in 1992 , against the advice of his generals .
A nuclear replay of WWI was avoided .
Discussion :
Ever wonder why the most heavily armed nation in history collapsed without even a token defence ?
The NSA of the US had decisively subverted the Command-and-Control structures of the Russian and Warsaw-pact countries through electronic means . See "Time" magazine articles at the time .
But it was a once-off .
Using it meant that countermeasures can (and was taken)
A crushing military victory could be obtained . But at the cost of literally hundreds of millions of casualties and slagged countries .
And there was no guarantee that the USSR's Strategic Rocket Forces will not become involved .
Then the casualties would have been in the billions , all over the world .
The Kicker (why he got the big bucks)
George Herbert Walter Bush (b1941) overruled his General Staff and ordered that full covert and overt support be given to the legitimate Russian Government .
The attempted coup by Spetznaz armoured forces around Moscow ended up being steered in circles , after electronic commands being subverted by NSA .
The Warsaw-Pact troops had always been on 72-hour standby .
The actual order to mobilize and attack had been given .
They were mobilizing in their usual slapdash fashion , but no Weapons of Mass Destruction had been released to forward troops .
The Warsaw-Pact order of battle is now available on the Internet .
It always involved the early release of ABC(Atomic,Bacteriological,Chemical) weapons within the first 48 hours .
Shevardnadze flew down Warsaw-pact headquarters . Between his political bludgeoning and the US subversion of commands , the attack never got started .
But it was a close-run thing .
Once the control of ABC weapons were released , a rerun of WWI (only more terrible) was unavoidable .
Europe would be a wasteland today .
The bacteriological weapons for livestock and plants would also have spread planetwide . Tactical nukes would have obliterated transport systems (especially airports) . This means that no help would have been available .
What do you know !
The systems actually learned something .
It did not happen .
Hero!
Regardless of what else he did or did not do , for this George Herbert Walter Bush will be considered a Hero in future .
For saving lives in the hundreds of millions and green treasure in billions of plants .
The Oath :
Note that US soldiers swear to
"Life , Liberty , the Pursuit of Happiness and the Constitution of the United States "
One of the reasons for the success of the USA is that it is a principle , not a country .
Saving other people's lives is fit , good and proper .
This is exactly what George Herbert Walter Bush did .
He upheld honor
He is also one of the few moderns that can say with some justification :
"Si monumentes requires , circumspice ."
Look at what is not there . The wastelands and blasted inhabitants .
Cf Mandela and De Klerk , much as it pains me to admit it .
PS . I don't do panegyrics .
Bush deserves his kudo's .
Andre .
Thursday, February 11, 2010
Shaving
Shaving
Andre Willers
11 Feb 2010
Synopsis :
Why did Neolithic , Bronze-age and iron age peoples shave? How did they do it ?
Discussion:
The shavers:
Ancient Greeks and Romans (derived from Southern-Russian steppes .
Scythians , Mongols .
Egyptian priests (and by extension , Bronze-age elites) shaved . Even their heads . See Minoan statues and portraits . See any beards ?
So shave they did , and extensively .
But how did they do it ?
And where are the razors ?
Combs in plenty are found (see http:\\andreswhy.blogspot.com "Combs")
The Obsidian razor .
Obsidian is far sharper than the best steel razor .
It gives a really close shave .
In a pinch , an obsidian full-blade can be used . But it will leave nicks in the skin .
Fashion and hygiene were there first .
See http://andreswhy .blogspot.com "Hairlessness ,Fat and Fire"
Sexual selection toward hairlessness drove the process .
The technique of clamping small shards of obsidian between a wooden or bone frames developed . Used later for sickles when agriculture developed . Also for large obsidian stone-swords .
These frames were glued together , or bound with leather . Metal wire was unobtainable or impossibly expensive . (Copper and gold stretched too much . Bronze was too brittle .)
The glue , leather and wood perished with time .
What was left was small shards of obsidian , which nobody has associated with razors. (Computor topography programs used for matching shards of pottery together can be used to recreate ancient razors from the obsidian shards .)
Lubricant :
Oil or fat . Refer to Greek strigils .
Olive oil was probably first developed as a shaving lubricant . The quite complicated process to make olives edible flowed out of the surplus of olive oil pressed for shaving purposes .
Olive trees , like most drought resistant plants , have very sophisticated defenses of a chemical nature against herbivores .
If you want to get really , really sick , eat some raw , untreated olives .
Refer to the extravagant prices scents (which were combined with oils and fats) commanded . The Egyptian priesthood and nobles anywhere did not want to smell rancid .
They might get rid of the wood-smoke smell , but that did not help if they stank of rancid fat .
Turns women right off .
Steppe dwellers in Northern Eurasia .
Notice lack of facial hair .
There seems to be a strong selection against facial hair .
Theory :
The steppes in these areas have regular periods of sub-zero temperatures .
A horse rider bounces up and down . Any facial covering used against the cold chafes against frozen hairs , breaking off hairs . Broken hairshafts in the skin leads to infections .
Hence the heavy selection against beards .
Cavalry and armoured cavalry are nearly always clean-shaven or minimal on the facial hair . See tombstone-effigies of centuries of medieval knights .
Where are Alexander the Greats's razors ? Or combs for that matter .
It might be more fruitful to track his barber .
Political abreaction :
Nomads that conquered warmer areas , deliberately cultivated luxuriant beards to differentiate themselves . (Cf Assyrians , Hittites , Persians ) Especially if they fought against the Egyptians .
Something similar happened with the collapse of the western Roman empire . The barbarians deliberately went bearded to distinguish themselves from the Romans .
This happened frequently in other civilizations .
Did Neanderthals shave ?
They were cold-adapted , so they must have had beards . But without horses , they had no compelling reason to shave off facial hair . Hence some residual evidence of Neanderthal head-lice via the Homo Erectus lineage .
An interesting alternate :
If Neanderthals domesticated a riding animal (eg elk , bovines or even horses) this would have compensated for their short legs . We would probably be speaking Neanderthalese . Heavy Neanderthal cavalry would be formidable .
See http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "Death of the Neanderthal"
The Cut-throat razor .
A direct descendant of obsidian razors .
Note the elegance of design . The curved handle . The protection of the brittle blades .
The ease of use .
The blades only slightly protruding from the frame acted like a safety razor today .
It is a mini-strigil , but sharp as hell .
Why did it vanish ?
Well , it did not vanish . Just became relatively more expensive . Cheap steel replaced it for mass-use .
Obsidian is expensive . The labour to make a razor for a close shave even more so .
But a good obsidian razor is far superior to the best steel one that can be bought today
Somewhere , people are still making them .
Technologies of this type are not forgotten , but simply go underground . Cf weaving , Jacquerie looms , etc .
See http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "Ancient Babylonian IT"
A suitable present for the man who thinks he has everything .
And now for something completely different .
The Pharaoh's built the Pyramids to sharpen their razors .
From the (admittedly sketchy) physics of Pyramid Razor Sharpening , obsidian flakes should be very susceptible to sharpening .
Throw the priests a bone and the people a works project .
At least , the Pharaoh gets a close shave .
But inside every pyramid is the sharpest blade of them all .
Occam's Razor .
Hypothetically yours ,
Andre .
Andre Willers
11 Feb 2010
Synopsis :
Why did Neolithic , Bronze-age and iron age peoples shave? How did they do it ?
Discussion:
The shavers:
Ancient Greeks and Romans (derived from Southern-Russian steppes .
Scythians , Mongols .
Egyptian priests (and by extension , Bronze-age elites) shaved . Even their heads . See Minoan statues and portraits . See any beards ?
So shave they did , and extensively .
But how did they do it ?
And where are the razors ?
Combs in plenty are found (see http:\\andreswhy.blogspot.com "Combs")
The Obsidian razor .
Obsidian is far sharper than the best steel razor .
It gives a really close shave .
In a pinch , an obsidian full-blade can be used . But it will leave nicks in the skin .
Fashion and hygiene were there first .
See http://andreswhy .blogspot.com "Hairlessness ,Fat and Fire"
Sexual selection toward hairlessness drove the process .
The technique of clamping small shards of obsidian between a wooden or bone frames developed . Used later for sickles when agriculture developed . Also for large obsidian stone-swords .
These frames were glued together , or bound with leather . Metal wire was unobtainable or impossibly expensive . (Copper and gold stretched too much . Bronze was too brittle .)
The glue , leather and wood perished with time .
What was left was small shards of obsidian , which nobody has associated with razors. (Computor topography programs used for matching shards of pottery together can be used to recreate ancient razors from the obsidian shards .)
Lubricant :
Oil or fat . Refer to Greek strigils .
Olive oil was probably first developed as a shaving lubricant . The quite complicated process to make olives edible flowed out of the surplus of olive oil pressed for shaving purposes .
Olive trees , like most drought resistant plants , have very sophisticated defenses of a chemical nature against herbivores .
If you want to get really , really sick , eat some raw , untreated olives .
Refer to the extravagant prices scents (which were combined with oils and fats) commanded . The Egyptian priesthood and nobles anywhere did not want to smell rancid .
They might get rid of the wood-smoke smell , but that did not help if they stank of rancid fat .
Turns women right off .
Steppe dwellers in Northern Eurasia .
Notice lack of facial hair .
There seems to be a strong selection against facial hair .
Theory :
The steppes in these areas have regular periods of sub-zero temperatures .
A horse rider bounces up and down . Any facial covering used against the cold chafes against frozen hairs , breaking off hairs . Broken hairshafts in the skin leads to infections .
Hence the heavy selection against beards .
Cavalry and armoured cavalry are nearly always clean-shaven or minimal on the facial hair . See tombstone-effigies of centuries of medieval knights .
Where are Alexander the Greats's razors ? Or combs for that matter .
It might be more fruitful to track his barber .
Political abreaction :
Nomads that conquered warmer areas , deliberately cultivated luxuriant beards to differentiate themselves . (Cf Assyrians , Hittites , Persians ) Especially if they fought against the Egyptians .
Something similar happened with the collapse of the western Roman empire . The barbarians deliberately went bearded to distinguish themselves from the Romans .
This happened frequently in other civilizations .
Did Neanderthals shave ?
They were cold-adapted , so they must have had beards . But without horses , they had no compelling reason to shave off facial hair . Hence some residual evidence of Neanderthal head-lice via the Homo Erectus lineage .
An interesting alternate :
If Neanderthals domesticated a riding animal (eg elk , bovines or even horses) this would have compensated for their short legs . We would probably be speaking Neanderthalese . Heavy Neanderthal cavalry would be formidable .
See http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "Death of the Neanderthal"
The Cut-throat razor .
A direct descendant of obsidian razors .
Note the elegance of design . The curved handle . The protection of the brittle blades .
The ease of use .
The blades only slightly protruding from the frame acted like a safety razor today .
It is a mini-strigil , but sharp as hell .
Why did it vanish ?
Well , it did not vanish . Just became relatively more expensive . Cheap steel replaced it for mass-use .
Obsidian is expensive . The labour to make a razor for a close shave even more so .
But a good obsidian razor is far superior to the best steel one that can be bought today
Somewhere , people are still making them .
Technologies of this type are not forgotten , but simply go underground . Cf weaving , Jacquerie looms , etc .
See http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "Ancient Babylonian IT"
A suitable present for the man who thinks he has everything .
And now for something completely different .
The Pharaoh's built the Pyramids to sharpen their razors .
From the (admittedly sketchy) physics of Pyramid Razor Sharpening , obsidian flakes should be very susceptible to sharpening .
Throw the priests a bone and the people a works project .
At least , the Pharaoh gets a close shave .
But inside every pyramid is the sharpest blade of them all .
Occam's Razor .
Hypothetically yours ,
Andre .
Saturday, February 06, 2010
Alexander's Loot .
Alexander's Loot .
Andre Willers
7 Feb 2010
Synopsis:
An estimated US$ 463 Billion in high-value loot (gold and jewels) still lies hidden between 61.5 degrees East , 25 degree North and 61.25 degrees East , 29.35 degree North . Near Gwatar Bay .
See Appendix A for estimate .
Discussion :
Exuberance of Success:
After looting the accumulated wealth of the Middle East , every Greek troopie was a millionaire . Accumulating at least 5-10 camp followers (including wives , concubines and children ) .
Numerous auxillaries of dubious loyalty also attached .
Estimate about 500 000 people .
Of which about 50 000 were core Greek troops .
After the mutiny at Hydaspes , Alexander faced some hard strategic choices:
1. He could not stay . His core forces were too small and getting increasingly corrupted .
2. If he left with the whole train to Babylon , the economy of Babylon would collapse
3. What he needed was his Army purged and purified . With a disciplined Army he could always repair any problems by some killing and looting .
4. He therefore did two things :
4.1 March south to Pattala , where a fleet of more than100 ships were built under Nearchos . This ferried his personal share of treasure to Babylon .
4.2 Announced that the army would march back through the Gedrosian Desert .
Probably announced at Gwatar Bay .
5. Two orders of Alexander that would not be obeyed :
5.1 Abandon loot
5.2 Abandon children and wives .
6. So he did not try . An order his troops could not disobey was the route of the march . They were as aware as he was that they only existed on the momentum of previous conquests and the cohesion of the army . Forcing marching through the desert means that they would have to ditch the baggage train and hide most of the loot . He snookered them .
7. These were the most accomplished looters in history . They really , really knew where to hide loot where not even they could find it .
8. Unfortunately , about ¾ of them died on the march . So most of their loot was never found , even over 2 000 years .
Gwatar Bay should be named Lamentation Bay .
The camp followers (at least 400 000 of them) , wives , children etc were cast adrift with lesser parts of the loot .
Gold and jewelry , especially , were stashed .
Odysseus in Ithaca .
Alexander miscalculated the effect of the Desert Crossing on his Greek troops .
A triumphant house-cleansing by his re-invigorated and purged Greek warriors did not happen . (A-la-Odysseus in Ithaca)
A sullen and rebellious lot rocked up in Babylon , having lost all their loot and their wives and children . Facing larger numbers and richer locals .
It was a wonder Alexander lasted as long as he did .
His personal treasure was there , but without an army to guard it , it was simply another temptation to his generals .
Hence " It was a mosquito that did it, your honor."
Long Term effects :
One of the reasons for the extraordinary success of Egyptian and Middle-eastern civilizations were their great efficiency in recycling burial goods of gold , silver and gems . Grave robbers were , and are , integrated into the economy .
(Cf Scythian and Celtic , which did not have grave robbers and were at a severe economic disadvantage.)
The loss of such a large accumulated surplus represented by the Alexandrian Army's loot impoverished the Middle East for centuries . It played a large role in success of Roman arms .
See http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "Whatever happened to Nomads?" .
There was not enough portable currency to hire enough mercenary troops . (ie Nomads)
The ripple effects are still discernable .
Do you feel lucky ?
You know where to look .
It was never Alexander's intention to impoverish the local regions and render them vulnerable to nomad mercenaries .
The ghosts of his soldiers want these treasures to be found .
Toujours!
Andre .
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Appendix A
Estimate of amount of Alexander's Army Treasure .
In 2010 US$
See http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "New tools" "Reserves"
Let S= average surplus per person in the Middle East per year circa 300-1300 BCE .
Let Tax= 1/3 * S be average tax per year.
Let a third be retained as reserve .
Reserve= 1/9 *S
Accumulate this over 50 million people over 1000 years .
Reserve = 50*10^6 *10^3 *1/9 * S
Reserve = 5/9 * 10^10 *S
Alexander looted a third of this .
Loot = 5/27 *10^10 * S
The troops got 1/10 of this . (The officers got the rest , but this got recycled.)
And they (the troops) retained 1/3 to finally bury . (They spent 2/3 on wine , women and song)
Loot buried= 5/81 * 10^9 *S
=0.617*10^8 *S
Let S = $1000 , a not unreasonable figure .
The ME at the time was well-watered and had 3-4 crops a year .
Then loot buried ~ 0.617 US$Trillion
Three quarters got lost .
Buried loot remaining = 0.617/4*3 Trillion
= US$ 463 Billion
Good enough for government work .
Still an ungodly amount of money in a civilization without credit facilities .
No wonder their civilization collapsed .
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Andre Willers
7 Feb 2010
Synopsis:
An estimated US$ 463 Billion in high-value loot (gold and jewels) still lies hidden between 61.5 degrees East , 25 degree North and 61.25 degrees East , 29.35 degree North . Near Gwatar Bay .
See Appendix A for estimate .
Discussion :
Exuberance of Success:
After looting the accumulated wealth of the Middle East , every Greek troopie was a millionaire . Accumulating at least 5-10 camp followers (including wives , concubines and children ) .
Numerous auxillaries of dubious loyalty also attached .
Estimate about 500 000 people .
Of which about 50 000 were core Greek troops .
After the mutiny at Hydaspes , Alexander faced some hard strategic choices:
1. He could not stay . His core forces were too small and getting increasingly corrupted .
2. If he left with the whole train to Babylon , the economy of Babylon would collapse
3. What he needed was his Army purged and purified . With a disciplined Army he could always repair any problems by some killing and looting .
4. He therefore did two things :
4.1 March south to Pattala , where a fleet of more than100 ships were built under Nearchos . This ferried his personal share of treasure to Babylon .
4.2 Announced that the army would march back through the Gedrosian Desert .
Probably announced at Gwatar Bay .
5. Two orders of Alexander that would not be obeyed :
5.1 Abandon loot
5.2 Abandon children and wives .
6. So he did not try . An order his troops could not disobey was the route of the march . They were as aware as he was that they only existed on the momentum of previous conquests and the cohesion of the army . Forcing marching through the desert means that they would have to ditch the baggage train and hide most of the loot . He snookered them .
7. These were the most accomplished looters in history . They really , really knew where to hide loot where not even they could find it .
8. Unfortunately , about ¾ of them died on the march . So most of their loot was never found , even over 2 000 years .
Gwatar Bay should be named Lamentation Bay .
The camp followers (at least 400 000 of them) , wives , children etc were cast adrift with lesser parts of the loot .
Gold and jewelry , especially , were stashed .
Odysseus in Ithaca .
Alexander miscalculated the effect of the Desert Crossing on his Greek troops .
A triumphant house-cleansing by his re-invigorated and purged Greek warriors did not happen . (A-la-Odysseus in Ithaca)
A sullen and rebellious lot rocked up in Babylon , having lost all their loot and their wives and children . Facing larger numbers and richer locals .
It was a wonder Alexander lasted as long as he did .
His personal treasure was there , but without an army to guard it , it was simply another temptation to his generals .
Hence " It was a mosquito that did it, your honor."
Long Term effects :
One of the reasons for the extraordinary success of Egyptian and Middle-eastern civilizations were their great efficiency in recycling burial goods of gold , silver and gems . Grave robbers were , and are , integrated into the economy .
(Cf Scythian and Celtic , which did not have grave robbers and were at a severe economic disadvantage.)
The loss of such a large accumulated surplus represented by the Alexandrian Army's loot impoverished the Middle East for centuries . It played a large role in success of Roman arms .
See http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "Whatever happened to Nomads?" .
There was not enough portable currency to hire enough mercenary troops . (ie Nomads)
The ripple effects are still discernable .
Do you feel lucky ?
You know where to look .
It was never Alexander's intention to impoverish the local regions and render them vulnerable to nomad mercenaries .
The ghosts of his soldiers want these treasures to be found .
Toujours!
Andre .
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Appendix A
Estimate of amount of Alexander's Army Treasure .
In 2010 US$
See http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "New tools" "Reserves"
Let S= average surplus per person in the Middle East per year circa 300-1300 BCE .
Let Tax= 1/3 * S be average tax per year.
Let a third be retained as reserve .
Reserve= 1/9 *S
Accumulate this over 50 million people over 1000 years .
Reserve = 50*10^6 *10^3 *1/9 * S
Reserve = 5/9 * 10^10 *S
Alexander looted a third of this .
Loot = 5/27 *10^10 * S
The troops got 1/10 of this . (The officers got the rest , but this got recycled.)
And they (the troops) retained 1/3 to finally bury . (They spent 2/3 on wine , women and song)
Loot buried= 5/81 * 10^9 *S
=0.617*10^8 *S
Let S = $1000 , a not unreasonable figure .
The ME at the time was well-watered and had 3-4 crops a year .
Then loot buried ~ 0.617 US$Trillion
Three quarters got lost .
Buried loot remaining = 0.617/4*3 Trillion
= US$ 463 Billion
Good enough for government work .
Still an ungodly amount of money in a civilization without credit facilities .
No wonder their civilization collapsed .
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Whatever happened to Nomads ?
Whatever happened to Nomads ?
Andre Willers
4 Feb 2010
Synopsis:
"Colt made everyone equal .
Kalashnikov made everyone free ." … AW
Nomadism is alive and well and on an upsurge .
Discussion:
Nomadism is one of the great Human inventions .
What is nomadism ?
The capability of transporting your culture and technology in a small , portable package that can unpack on fertile ground and defend itself .
Do not confuse it with Hunter-Gatherer .
The processes are
1. hunter-gatherer ->agricultural -> nomad ->city
2.hunter-gatherer ->agricultural -> city ->nomad
The two processes iterate into each other .
City and Nomad has been in this thesis-antithesis-synthesis armed discussion for at least 10 000 years . .
City is more secure , but less freedom . Nomad less secure , but more freedom . The kicker is that technological innovation (due to higher degree of freedom) proceeds from Nomad to City .
Eg Iron and steel working , windmills , stirrups , etc
The City system ends up as reactive to Nomadic systems . Always a step or two behind . But sheer strength enabled it to survive the lag until about the middle of the twentieth century AD Until air-travel and electronic communication .
Example:
Composite bows and AK47
Composite bows :
Invented by the Egyptians as bow-saws , these spread . But to make a glued-together composite bow requires freedom of vibration . Ditto for other weapons . Pregnant women could not ride . The nomad Achilles Heel .
Any nomad people had to have peripheral permanent manufacturing and R&R settlements . We can even calculate their size . They must have been 1/3 of the total population .See previous posts on the size of Mongolian population .
The same holds for the modern equivalent : The AK47 .
The AK47 is the modern equivalent of the Composite bow .
It makes modern nomadism possible .
The fragmentation of states :
There are now more than 200 states in the UN . Most made possible by the rapid rate of fire of the AK47 and supplies by other fragmented super-power bloc states .
Can you see what is happening ?
The loose-cannon elements in the city-nomad dialogue is freed from the constraint of peripheral fixed bases .
For the moment . The guns can last a long time , but the ammunition has a fixed life-span . Fixed by the states that make them . A problem the Scythians or the Mongols did not have . Oh well .
This means a rapid collapse of unsupported freedom movements .
Meanwhile , back at the Ranch …
Capital from the West is still being exported to China (still perceived as a periphery) because returns are higher (Cf Roman Empire) .
But Chinese City-Nomad dialogue has been optimized using differential provincial mechanisms .
Internal China has been turned into a nomad system .
Peasants are nomads to the Special Economic Zones . If they can't hack it , they nomad back .
Like the US or Russia used to be before the death-grip of the large companies and banks , driven by UK or French capital .
( A good 2/3 of emigrants to the US West or Siberia went back home.)
But this time , it can be optimized into permanence .
This is what the City-systems of UK-US and France-Russia feared .
With good reason . Internal differential pressures can be maintained indefinitely in a large enough state . There is a threshold (attractor basin) where this becomes the norm
See previous posts . Seven to fourteen percent growth rates are at the lower end of the scale for this particular configuration . The next quantum step is 18 – 67 percent .
So why did Nomads not take over the world ?
They did .
Successful City states export their surplus population (eg ancient Greek , Roman , Celtic , Persian , Chinese ,London , Paris , etc) , who become nomads to their new colonies .
The nomads make cities and repeat the process .
A very old algorithm ( cf bacteria in their free-form and plaque stage .) We should be able to very decisively derive a threshold between the two .
A delicious analogue of the wave-particle duality .
Eg:
I go on a business trip to New York . I get made an offer by a multinational and become a nomad . I was a city-dweller until the decision to accept the offer to become a nomad . A typical wave-particle duality .
This process was decisively accellerated by technology .
We are living in the greatest age of Nomadism yet .
The nomads are known by different terms:
Emigrants , refugees , conquerors , businessmen , etc.
But all characterized that they unpack their parcel of civilization skills and defend them .
Look at the volkewanderungs in Europe after WWII .
They dwarfed anything in recorded history . And it is still going on
The greatest threat to ultra-conservative systems is this exact process . Hence the present armed response to cultural encroachments , both in the East and the West .
Called terrorism or war on terrorism .
Remember , the nomad unpacks his technological and cultural system and defends it with cheap , effective weapons (eg composite bow , AK47 , etc)
The IT specialist that hops on a plane at the whiff of a contract is a nomad .
The "refugee" is mostly a nomad , hopping the bus to a better life .
And he defends it by money .
The Mercenary has made a big comeback .
Now called a Security Contractor .
This was to be expected in a nomadic society .
If the base society is mobile , nobody feels the need to defend to the death .
This erodes the tax-base .
Large , permanent armed establishments only become affordable at need .
Intriguing is the reverse , where nationalistic security establishments (like the Red Army or US military-industrial complex ) have become more business-oriented .
The result are huge fractal armies .
Notice how dusty old memes are resurrected and polished up .
All present existing societies have had previous episodes of the same (eg condottieri , Marius , Sulla , Chinese Warlordism , etc , etc . The list is very long .)
As technology accellerates , this process will also accellerate .
No peace-time army can afford to keep up with the new technology . But the one with the second-best technology will lose .
The alternatives are :
1.Permanent high taxes , and a lot of wars This leads to exhaustion , especially in democratic , nomadic states . The tax-payers run away or vote them out .
2. Sell arms . A stop-gap solution . Eventually , one of your clients is going to tackle you .
3.Mercenaries . Nationalism has to degrade , as the commanders have to juggle priorities . Read "Anabasis" by Xenophon again to see what a commander in this system has to put up with .
Interesting Medical Correlation :
Note the correlation with medical technology .
They face exactly the same problems .
This is because the immune-bacteriological complex is a very good analogue of our society .
In other words , if the medical establishment cannot resolve the problems of Cost-Effectiveness , we will repeat them in the society .
As National Health Insurance goes , so will your society . But NHI is faster by at least two orders of magnitude .
What happened to the Huns ?
They phase-shifted from a free-form to a plaque form to use our above bacteriological analogy . The same people who were ravening barbarians abruptly changed into sedentary civilized persons .
This is actually the norm in humans .
Most white South Africans have undergone this transition. So also Germans , Eastern European Communists , medieval heathens of the Viking persuasion , Muslim Mongols , etc .
It is actually the same coin , seen from different sides .
And they can change back just as easily as we have seen in Yugoslavia , Germany , Uganda and countless other examples .
We can mirror this system back onto bacteria and calculate where an attack on the bacteria will trigger a phase change .
As I said , this threshold can be exactly calculated ,
as it derives from very old bacterial sources. It is not even difficult .
1. 1/3 as discussed in Reserves (see http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "New tools")
2. 1/3 of 1.3= 0.1111… (primary reserves of reserves (iterative): the salt of the earth)
3. 1/3 of 0.1111… = 0.0370… (3-4 percent . The percentage of officer material or attractive males in human populations by definition .)
4. 1/3 of 0.0370… = 0.01234567 …(notice the sequential numerals in base 10) Humans start getting very scratchy if this population percentile is attacked .It is seen as an exponentially escalating attack . Even bacteria will respond to this easily perceived escalation . (Resonance : why you have ten fingers)
5. 1/3 of 0.01234567… = 0.004115226337… Humans fight to the death or move if this percentile is attacked . Notice the base 10 repetition . ( 411 .. 522 ...633..) Once again this is interpreted as extreme but hidden escalation of aggression . The conscious mind is not usually aware of this sequence .
6. 1/3 of 0.004115226337 = 0.001371743112… Note the 137 . This ties in with some fundamental constants and ratios of infinite over finite growth
7. And so it goes .
Stand-down Negotiations .
Para 4 above in any direction will be interpreted by bacterial (or human) systems as an invitation to negotiation . It does not really matter in which direction it goes, though it is slightly easier in the decreasing direction .
In other words , not tit-for-tat , but halftit-for-tat or doubletit-for-tat , then 3tit-for-tat or 1/3tit-for-tat , then 4tit-for-tat or 1/4tit-for-tat , and so forth .
This is important , because it opens dialogue with bacterial subsystems of the human body . Not only infections and phene systems , but also metabolic systems like the sugar metabolism .
Once you have their attention , you must indicate a direction (the two are the same: these are not conscious systems)
How many terms are needed ?
From general theory we know that at least 4 terms are needed , but the system is much better with 5 terms .
DiabetesII
Dissolve 15 gm (3 tsp of sugar) into 150 (half-cup) of water .
Sip first 50 ml (3 tbs + 1tsp ) ,
then 40 ml(2 tbs +2 tsp)
then 30 ml(2 tbs +0 tsp)
then 20ml(1 tbs +1 tsp)
then 10 ml (2 tsp)
etc . This will get the attention of the system
What will happen is anybody's guess .
Maybe Mongols of the Serengeti will still happen .
Andre
Andre Willers
4 Feb 2010
Synopsis:
"Colt made everyone equal .
Kalashnikov made everyone free ." … AW
Nomadism is alive and well and on an upsurge .
Discussion:
Nomadism is one of the great Human inventions .
What is nomadism ?
The capability of transporting your culture and technology in a small , portable package that can unpack on fertile ground and defend itself .
Do not confuse it with Hunter-Gatherer .
The processes are
1. hunter-gatherer ->agricultural -> nomad ->city
2.hunter-gatherer ->agricultural -> city ->nomad
The two processes iterate into each other .
City and Nomad has been in this thesis-antithesis-synthesis armed discussion for at least 10 000 years . .
City is more secure , but less freedom . Nomad less secure , but more freedom . The kicker is that technological innovation (due to higher degree of freedom) proceeds from Nomad to City .
Eg Iron and steel working , windmills , stirrups , etc
The City system ends up as reactive to Nomadic systems . Always a step or two behind . But sheer strength enabled it to survive the lag until about the middle of the twentieth century AD Until air-travel and electronic communication .
Example:
Composite bows and AK47
Composite bows :
Invented by the Egyptians as bow-saws , these spread . But to make a glued-together composite bow requires freedom of vibration . Ditto for other weapons . Pregnant women could not ride . The nomad Achilles Heel .
Any nomad people had to have peripheral permanent manufacturing and R&R settlements . We can even calculate their size . They must have been 1/3 of the total population .See previous posts on the size of Mongolian population .
The same holds for the modern equivalent : The AK47 .
The AK47 is the modern equivalent of the Composite bow .
It makes modern nomadism possible .
The fragmentation of states :
There are now more than 200 states in the UN . Most made possible by the rapid rate of fire of the AK47 and supplies by other fragmented super-power bloc states .
Can you see what is happening ?
The loose-cannon elements in the city-nomad dialogue is freed from the constraint of peripheral fixed bases .
For the moment . The guns can last a long time , but the ammunition has a fixed life-span . Fixed by the states that make them . A problem the Scythians or the Mongols did not have . Oh well .
This means a rapid collapse of unsupported freedom movements .
Meanwhile , back at the Ranch …
Capital from the West is still being exported to China (still perceived as a periphery) because returns are higher (Cf Roman Empire) .
But Chinese City-Nomad dialogue has been optimized using differential provincial mechanisms .
Internal China has been turned into a nomad system .
Peasants are nomads to the Special Economic Zones . If they can't hack it , they nomad back .
Like the US or Russia used to be before the death-grip of the large companies and banks , driven by UK or French capital .
( A good 2/3 of emigrants to the US West or Siberia went back home.)
But this time , it can be optimized into permanence .
This is what the City-systems of UK-US and France-Russia feared .
With good reason . Internal differential pressures can be maintained indefinitely in a large enough state . There is a threshold (attractor basin) where this becomes the norm
See previous posts . Seven to fourteen percent growth rates are at the lower end of the scale for this particular configuration . The next quantum step is 18 – 67 percent .
So why did Nomads not take over the world ?
They did .
Successful City states export their surplus population (eg ancient Greek , Roman , Celtic , Persian , Chinese ,London , Paris , etc) , who become nomads to their new colonies .
The nomads make cities and repeat the process .
A very old algorithm ( cf bacteria in their free-form and plaque stage .) We should be able to very decisively derive a threshold between the two .
A delicious analogue of the wave-particle duality .
Eg:
I go on a business trip to New York . I get made an offer by a multinational and become a nomad . I was a city-dweller until the decision to accept the offer to become a nomad . A typical wave-particle duality .
This process was decisively accellerated by technology .
We are living in the greatest age of Nomadism yet .
The nomads are known by different terms:
Emigrants , refugees , conquerors , businessmen , etc.
But all characterized that they unpack their parcel of civilization skills and defend them .
Look at the volkewanderungs in Europe after WWII .
They dwarfed anything in recorded history . And it is still going on
The greatest threat to ultra-conservative systems is this exact process . Hence the present armed response to cultural encroachments , both in the East and the West .
Called terrorism or war on terrorism .
Remember , the nomad unpacks his technological and cultural system and defends it with cheap , effective weapons (eg composite bow , AK47 , etc)
The IT specialist that hops on a plane at the whiff of a contract is a nomad .
The "refugee" is mostly a nomad , hopping the bus to a better life .
And he defends it by money .
The Mercenary has made a big comeback .
Now called a Security Contractor .
This was to be expected in a nomadic society .
If the base society is mobile , nobody feels the need to defend to the death .
This erodes the tax-base .
Large , permanent armed establishments only become affordable at need .
Intriguing is the reverse , where nationalistic security establishments (like the Red Army or US military-industrial complex ) have become more business-oriented .
The result are huge fractal armies .
Notice how dusty old memes are resurrected and polished up .
All present existing societies have had previous episodes of the same (eg condottieri , Marius , Sulla , Chinese Warlordism , etc , etc . The list is very long .)
As technology accellerates , this process will also accellerate .
No peace-time army can afford to keep up with the new technology . But the one with the second-best technology will lose .
The alternatives are :
1.Permanent high taxes , and a lot of wars This leads to exhaustion , especially in democratic , nomadic states . The tax-payers run away or vote them out .
2. Sell arms . A stop-gap solution . Eventually , one of your clients is going to tackle you .
3.Mercenaries . Nationalism has to degrade , as the commanders have to juggle priorities . Read "Anabasis" by Xenophon again to see what a commander in this system has to put up with .
Interesting Medical Correlation :
Note the correlation with medical technology .
They face exactly the same problems .
This is because the immune-bacteriological complex is a very good analogue of our society .
In other words , if the medical establishment cannot resolve the problems of Cost-Effectiveness , we will repeat them in the society .
As National Health Insurance goes , so will your society . But NHI is faster by at least two orders of magnitude .
What happened to the Huns ?
They phase-shifted from a free-form to a plaque form to use our above bacteriological analogy . The same people who were ravening barbarians abruptly changed into sedentary civilized persons .
This is actually the norm in humans .
Most white South Africans have undergone this transition. So also Germans , Eastern European Communists , medieval heathens of the Viking persuasion , Muslim Mongols , etc .
It is actually the same coin , seen from different sides .
And they can change back just as easily as we have seen in Yugoslavia , Germany , Uganda and countless other examples .
We can mirror this system back onto bacteria and calculate where an attack on the bacteria will trigger a phase change .
As I said , this threshold can be exactly calculated ,
as it derives from very old bacterial sources. It is not even difficult .
1. 1/3 as discussed in Reserves (see http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "New tools")
2. 1/3 of 1.3= 0.1111… (primary reserves of reserves (iterative): the salt of the earth)
3. 1/3 of 0.1111… = 0.0370… (3-4 percent . The percentage of officer material or attractive males in human populations by definition .)
4. 1/3 of 0.0370… = 0.01234567 …(notice the sequential numerals in base 10) Humans start getting very scratchy if this population percentile is attacked .It is seen as an exponentially escalating attack . Even bacteria will respond to this easily perceived escalation . (Resonance : why you have ten fingers)
5. 1/3 of 0.01234567… = 0.004115226337… Humans fight to the death or move if this percentile is attacked . Notice the base 10 repetition . ( 411 .. 522 ...633..) Once again this is interpreted as extreme but hidden escalation of aggression . The conscious mind is not usually aware of this sequence .
6. 1/3 of 0.004115226337 = 0.001371743112… Note the 137 . This ties in with some fundamental constants and ratios of infinite over finite growth
7. And so it goes .
Stand-down Negotiations .
Para 4 above in any direction will be interpreted by bacterial (or human) systems as an invitation to negotiation . It does not really matter in which direction it goes, though it is slightly easier in the decreasing direction .
In other words , not tit-for-tat , but halftit-for-tat or doubletit-for-tat , then 3tit-for-tat or 1/3tit-for-tat , then 4tit-for-tat or 1/4tit-for-tat , and so forth .
This is important , because it opens dialogue with bacterial subsystems of the human body . Not only infections and phene systems , but also metabolic systems like the sugar metabolism .
Once you have their attention , you must indicate a direction (the two are the same: these are not conscious systems)
How many terms are needed ?
From general theory we know that at least 4 terms are needed , but the system is much better with 5 terms .
DiabetesII
Dissolve 15 gm (3 tsp of sugar) into 150 (half-cup) of water .
Sip first 50 ml (3 tbs + 1tsp ) ,
then 40 ml(2 tbs +2 tsp)
then 30 ml(2 tbs +0 tsp)
then 20ml(1 tbs +1 tsp)
then 10 ml (2 tsp)
etc . This will get the attention of the system
What will happen is anybody's guess .
Maybe Mongols of the Serengeti will still happen .
Andre