Financial Crisis 19 Feb 2011

Financial Crisis 19 Feb 2011
Andre Willers
10 Feb 2011

Synopsis :
The Hysterical Focus is moving from North-Africa and the Middle-East to the Arctic Ocean .

Discussion :
The events in Egypt and adjacent territories can and have been foreseen .

To quote from
http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "Financial Crisis 3 Sep 2010"
"The Hysterical Focus is the mechanism whereby Humans determine large-scale directions of collective effort .
See http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "Inside the ignition of an hysterical focus"
Internal revolution is a much more likely route ."

This is what happened now .
Internal revolutions broke out , and all will succeed .
To see why , look at http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "Hayflick Limit Calculation " and adjust the arguments used accordingly .

Briefly , the rulers have exhausted the reserves allocated by the society . No amount of violence (except genocide) will help . The best example is the Ming revolt against Mongol rule .

The important point wrung from Saudia-Arabia is that their oil-production will plateau in 2012 , putatively remain stable for 15 years , then gradually decline .
But nobody believes this . They have lied too often

Decline in revenue , and especially expected decline in revenue will cause massive social unrest .
Not too fine a point on it , the Saudi royal family's days are numbered .
You can calculate the number of days using
http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "Hayflick Limit Calculation"
The principles are clear . Ladbrookes or Las Vegas are expert in probabilities .
Why not bet on civilizations and nations ?

Now you see why the Somali pirates are allowed to flourish . This gives an excuse for really large military forces in the Red Sea and Indian Ocean .

But this is a sideshow . Western interests have already written off the Middle East .
It would horrify the good citizens of Arabia that their territory has been already sold for fracking , using seawater . Their deserts aren't much but at least it was their own .
Fracking with seawater will turn it into a slab of salt .

The Hysterical Focus has changed to the Arctic Ocean , and to fracking in territories like Canada and South Africa .

So , the present crisis is not much . Everybody is trying to get out of the Middle East .
A good example to note is how the Nobel brothers got out of the Caucasus oil-fields in 1912 . From the biggest to zero . In 1917 , the Communist s nationalized the lot .
(Stalin was a heavy-duty union organizer in Baku.)

Not much of a crisis .
But we aim to entertain

Andre