A Future South Africa .

A Future South Africa

Andre Willers

18 May 2013

“A very strange society”   Allen Drury

Synopsis :

South Africans create solutions by making problems solve each other . They do this by creating problems where none existed . Paradoxical Socialism

 

Discussion :

1.Mathematically this works .

2. It forces out-of-the-box thinking . The box here is a coffin .

3. Interesting to watch from afar . Even more interesting from the inside .

Call it Paradoxical Socialism  (beats Dialectic Materialism)

 

4. Old systems are resurrected zombie-fashion .

4.1. See Appendix RSA I (Communism and National Socialism) and Appendix RSA II (Imperial)  below .

4.2. Crony –Capitalism  (present ANC system)

4.3  Free-for-all Capitalism (Uncontrolled influx of foreigners , criminals)

4.4 Chinese-style channelled capitalism . (BRICS)

 

5. This gives at least 4 problem dimensions . This means that there always exists a solution .

 

6. Ostrum Principles have thoroughly infiltrated at grass-roots level . (More like crab-grass)

See http://andreswhy.blogspot.com/2011/10/ostrum-game.html , Water Nationalization , Mineral Nationalization .

  

7. Add Social media .

 

8. Stir .

A solution will always be found . See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Emergence .

Funnily enough , the solution will be closer to optimal than command or democratic solutions .

 

9. Another funny thing :

The more problems generated , the smaller the likelihood of catastrophic failure .

 

10 . But things are tough in the short-term .

And it is always the short-term . The system generates new problems as old ones are resolved.

Continuous crises .

Not a country for old men .

 

11. How aggressive is Paradoxical Socialism ?

Very aggressive at the peripheries .

Paradoxical Socialism exports Interesting Times . Very suited to Singularity run-ups .

 

Regards from the Paradoxical Socialist .

 

Andre .

 

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Appendix RSA I

http://www.socialistsouthafrica.co.za/

Workers and Socialist Party calls for one-day-general strike DSM (CWI South Africa) reporters The Workers and Socialist Party (WASP) denounces in the strongest terms Amplats’ cold-blooded plans to slash 6,000 jobs and stands in solidarity with the Amplats workers who are threatening strike action on Monday May 20 in protest. Amplats, which falls under Anglo American, is the world’s largest platinum producer. With every worker supporting 6 – 10 dependants and each mining job estimated to generate another 26 jobs in the wider economy, these job losses spell disaster for mineworkers, their families and working class communities at large. The job losses are particularly alarming as it is clear that through Amplats the entire mining industry and SA big business at large are testing the waters. An injury to the Amplats workers will indeed be an injury to all, with mass retrenchments likely to follow across the economy. WASP therefore calls on all Amplats workers, the National Workers Committee and the unions in the mining industry to mobilise for united, well-organised and effective resistance. WASP is also calling on all organised workers, particularly all the federations of labour...

Last Updated on Saturday, 18 May 2013 15:52 What we stand for Sunday, 01 May 2011 07:44 Jobs - Immediate moratorium on retrenchments - Massive programme of public works - Retool factories for production of socially necessary goods - R3500 minimum monthly wage - No to privatisation - for immediate re-nationalisation of all privatised services and assets - No time limit for unemployment benefit Health - An accessible, decent single state-funded health service free at point of use - Expand training and learning facilities and enrolment of medical and health students; fill all empty posts - Nationalise all pharmaceutical companies under democratic workers control Gender - Equal pay for work of equal value - Combat gender-based violence, rape and abuse - gender-trained staff in all police stations and courts - Access to decent shelters for all abused women and children - End police harassment of sex workers - decriminalise sex work Youth and education - Free, quality public education for all - end tuition fees from pre-school to tertiary level - End academic and financial exclusions; cancel student debt - Restore privatised services to university/ school control - Re-open all closed teacher training colleges - fill empty posts - Mass campaign to end illiteracy - Stop police harassment of street children - for humane care and shelter Housing and basic services - Nationalise all major construction companies - Decent houses, electricity, water, modern sanitation for all - Scrap all rent-, rates-, electricity arrears for working class communities - No to evictions, water- and electricity cut-offs - No to pre-paid meters Transport - An affordable efficient and integrated public transport system - No job losses due to the Bus Rapid Transport systems – guaranteed jobs for taxi industry employees - Minimum wage, trade union rights for taxi industry workers Trade union democracy - Election of all worker representatives - from shop steward to highest decision making structures - subject to right of recall - Salaries of union officials to be based on average of skilled workers in the sector - Close down union investment companies; for democratic control of investment decisions by rank-and-file worker committees - For a rank-and-file campaign to reclaim Cosatu’s class and political independence - Cosatu out of the tripartite alliance - For a single trade union centre with a socialist programme Workers’ unity - Fight xenophobia - solidarity with exploited immigrant workers - Trade unions must organise immigrant workers - Equal pay, conditions and rights for all - No to defending South African bosses against foreign bosses - Socialist internationalism and solidarity through direct links of workers and trade unions - Joint programmes to defend jobs and conditions across borders Land reform and agriculture - Expropriation and nationalisation of monopoly-owned commercial farms under democratic worker control and management. Compensation on basis of proven need only - Restore food security through abolition of import parity pricing; for state-controlled prices for domestic agricultural produce Socialism - Build a mass workers party on a socialist programme - Nationalise top-five JSE companies, the Reserve Bank and commercial banks under democratic worker control and management. Compensation only on basis of proven need - For a democratically worked-out plan of production for social need, not profit - End global warming, no to fossil and nuclear energy – for green technology in energy production and transport - For a socialist South Africa, a socialist Africa and socialist world

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Appendix RSA 2

South African Soviets

Andre Willers

22 Mar 2013

“Those who cannot remember the past , are doomed to repeat it “ George Santayana

Synopsis:

Workers’ Committees (Soviets) have spontaneously formed due to failure of service delivery .

Discussion :

1.Social media (Twitter , Facebook Email ,et al) greatly accellerates the process .

2.The normal progression is like what happened in Russia in the early 1900’s : See Appendix I

3.The Unions get into bed with Management and screw the workers .

4.The workers rebel and form Soviets (Workers’ Committees)

5.A political party (In Russia : Bolsheviks) seize their chance and hijack the Soviets .

They used formal rules of committees (votes , information control) to manipulate the system .

6.The Nazi’s did the same with the verreine .

7.The same in the UK (clubs) and USA (Fraternities , sororities, moose ,elk , and their ilk ) .

8. Can this happen now with social media scrutiny ?

Humans are a hysterical species . The social media works for the masses , not against them .

9. Weimar Republic Scenario

WaSP (Workers and Socialist Party) , already implicated in the Marikana and other mining Soviets , get a significant Parliamentary presence . Whoever is behind WASP has read his history , and is getting schadenfreude by making you repeat it .

He also has some significant on-line and financial backing . I just googled wasp and got a fairly professionally executed logo . Not amateur . As usual , no real information .

10 Emperor Scenario

See Appendix II .

I thought Zuma would be emperor , but an unknown Mr X is making a bid .

11. Who will win ?

King Log or King Stork ?

South Africans have been moaning and bitching because Zuma is doing nothing . They will long for these days .

12. It is my considered opinion that WaSP interests will do their best to destabilize South African economic systems before the 2014 elections . They only need a few hundred disgruntled workers , in any industry you care to name . The worse it gets, the more votes they get . And the Social Media is going to work in their favour .

Interesting times . The last guy who tried this stunt didn’t come off too well . But he killed 50 million in the process.

13. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/There's_a_sucker_born_every_minute

“There's a sucker born every minute" is a phrase often credited to P. T. Barnum (1810–1891), an American showman. Though this phrase is often credited to Barnum, it was actually spoken by a man by the name of David Hannum.”

You see what I mean .

Andre

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Appendix I

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Soviet_(council)

“ The Russian workers were largely organized at the turn of the 20th century, leading to a government-sponsored Union leadership. In 1905, theRusso-Japanese War increased the strain on Russian industrial production, the workers began to strike and rebel. They represented an autonomous workers movement, one that broke free from the government's oversight of workers unions. Soviets sprang up throughout the industrial centers of Russia, usually organized on the factory level. The soviets disappeared after the Revolution of 1905, but re-emerged under Socialist leadership during the Revolution of 1917.”

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Appendix II

Emperor Zuma .

Andre Willers.

5 Oct 2010

Predictive synopsis:

RSA revolutionary system will bubble up into an encapsulated African Empire .

Time period :3 years , plus rapid consolidation thereafter .

Discussion :

We look at previous revolutions :

Meta view:

How many revolutions do we have to look at to get a reasonable view ?

From dimensional considerations , four is sufficient , but five + is better .

Chaos mathematics and Reserves (Least Error arguments)

Ignore events in 1/3 of time periods into Revolutionary Capsule .

See http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "NewTools"

Abstraction to general principles only become possible when the system has cooled down enough . Cf Big Bang . Symmetry breaking , etc .

There are two types of revolutions :

1.Encapsulated Revolutions :

The system contains its own excesses . A steady state of some sort is established , many times of a the steady state is of a dynamic nature .

2.Open-Ended Revolutions :

The system's excesses has to be contained by outside forces . This is a polite way of saying wars are necessary .

End-state Civilizations:

Encapsulated Revolutions (like Bronze Age , Roman Empire , British Empire)

Their end-states form and guide attempted Open-Ended Revolutions .

This sums up history for the last 5000 years .

Various recent Revolutions:

1.English Revolution . (Cromwell)

Capsule Period:

1649 (JamesI chopped) to 1688 (Grand Revolution) . 39 years . Ignore the first 13 years unless you are expert in chaos systems and watch the next 26 . (ie up to 1726) This is where the British Empire was coalesced .

Notice the Dutch influence .

2.American Revolution (Washington)

Capsule Period:

1776 to 1865 : 89 years . Ignore the first 30 years (ie up to 1806) unless you are expert in chaos systems .

3.French Revolution : (Napoleon)

Capsule period:

1789 to 1815 . 26 years Ignore the first 26/3 years (ie up to 1797) unless you are expert in chaos systems .

4.Russian Revolution : (Stalin)

Capsule period :

1917 to 1989 : 62 years . Ignore the first 62/3 years (ie up to 1938) unless you are expert in chaos systems

5.German Revolution (Hitler)

Capsule period:

1933 to 1945 : 12 years . Ignore the first 12/3 years (ie up to 1937) unless you are expert in chaos systems

6.Chinese Revolution . (Mao)

Capsule period:

1948 to 1986 : 38 years . Ignore the first 38/3 years (ie up to 1981) unless you are expert in chaos systems

7 South African Revolution .

Capsule period:

1994 to (2008+x) : 18+x years . Ignore the first (18+x)/3 years (ie up to 1999+x/3) unless you are expert in chaos systems

Use Bayesian systems .

What does this mean ?

Notice the aggressive pulse during the last 2/3 of the Revolutionary Capsule .

In the African context , it means an Empire based on SA expansion , allowed into a capsule . The capsule is porous , so actual Singularity bleed-through is allowed .

An Emperor is forced to let his subjects evaporate into the Singularity , or else face immediate revolt .

It is rather amusing to note that the Singularity will initiate in Africa . Has already initiated . Humans will end where they started .

Tojours , mes infants .

Andre.

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