The New Black Death
Andre Willers
28 Oct 2014
Synopsis :
Ebola fits the profile for a new Black Death Pandemic .
Discussion :
1.Ebola can be
transmitted in aerosols for at least 20 feet .
Experiments done in April
2014 by MIT
“If you ignored the
presence of the gas cloud, your first guess would be that larger drops go
farther than the smaller ones, and travel at most a couple of meters,” Bush
says. “But by elucidating the dynamics of the gas cloud, we have shown that
there’s a circulation within the cloud — the smaller drops can be swept around
and resuspended by the eddies within a cloud, and so settle more slowly.
Basically, small drops can be carried a great distance by this gas cloud while
the larger drops fall out. So you have a reversal in the dependence of range on
size.”
“Specifically, the
study finds that droplets 100 micrometers — or millionths of a meter — in
diameter travel five times farther than previously estimated, while droplets 10
micrometers in diameter travel 200 times farther. Droplets less than 50
micrometers in size can frequently remain airborne long enough to reach ceiling
ventilation units.”
2. 13 % of Ebola victims do not develop a
fever .
“In fact, in a study published online in late
September by the New England Journal of Medicine and backed by the World Health
Organization, 3,343 confirmed and 667 probable cases of Ebola were analyzed,
and nearly 13 percent of the time, those infected with Ebola exhibited no fever
at all.”
3. The Black Death
Profile
See http://andreswhy.blogspot.com/2005/08/black-death.html
See http://andreswhy.blogspot.com/2005/08/black-death.html
The profile of the Black
Death :
Latent Period from time
of infection : 10 - 12 days
Infectious period (after
latent period)before the appearance of symptoms : 20 - 22 days Incubation
period before symptoms ( sum of above) : approx 32 days Average period
displaying symptoms before death : 5 days Total infectious period : approx 22 +
5 = 27 days
Time to death from
infection : approx 37 days .
Aerosol form (pneumonic)
about 50% contagious .
Untreated mortality
80%-90%
4.Ebola profile :
Ebola has 2-21 ,(usually
10 ) days before symptoms , but it is often infectious during this period .
Time to death 5-7 days after symptoms if
untreated .
Aerosol form nearly 100%
contagious , judging from medical personnel with even the slightest exposure .
Untreated mortality about
60%
5.Worst Case Scenario :
Black Death : Deaths 50%
of 90% = 45% (about 100 to 200 million
worldwide)
Ebola : Deaths 60% of
100% = 60% (4 billion people potentially , with many more due to war , famine ,
etc)
6. Important note :
It does not matter how
long the symptomless infectious period is as long as it lasts more than 24
hours .
It only affects the speed
of spread .
With aircraft and humans
being too greedy to limit travel , we face a Worst Case Scenario
7. What can you do ?
8. Small , tight , heavily
armed , xenophobic vertically integrated communities will tend to survive .
Virtual tourism and sex
will become very big .
Pilots will need armed
escorts .
The Internet will be the
dominant force , overriding national concerns .
If Governments were
hoping to extend their control , they will find the opposite happening .
After the Black Death ,
the social order in Europe collapsed . The Roman Catholic Church was nearly
destroyed and endemic warfare and peasant rebellions
bubbled up all over .
Expect the same , only
more so .
9.This can still be
avoided if strict quarantine is enforced .
But humans are too
fractious .
10 The safest places :
Small farming towns near
large military bases .
If this sounds
suspiciously like the period at the end of the Western Roman Empire , it is
because the present society is already over-stretched and close to collapse
from
Overpopulation , resource
depletion , pollution , mismanagement , over-complification , you-name-it .
Many seem to welcome it ,
not realizing they and nearly everyone they know and love will soon be in the
charnel pits .
11. Flagellants , http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Geisslerlieder
Mass hysteria . Mass
lynchings of politicians , doctors , scientists , pilots , bankers , the
wealthy .
Fundamentalism grows .
Expect resumption of the Crusades . (Remember the 100 years War happened in
similar circumstances)
Good luck .
Now is the time for the Rogue
Swan to come to the rescue .
Andre
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Appendix A
The time to panic is before the Titanic has left the harbour .See
If the Triffids don't get you, Ebola will : see
Plants have been breeding humans . See
Further examples of the
Plant-Herbivore Wars :
http://andreswhy.blogspot.com/2013/07/rabies-alzheimers-and-formic-acid....
Notice the cute trick to penetrate skin barriers . Reminiscent of
hemorrhagic diseases like Ebola and Especially SuperEbola .
SuperEbola is Ebola on
steroids , then add some . The Fifth Horseman on a Harley ! : see
for the desperate . : See
or try hiding :
Communication has tobe
tightly controlled
See what happened to http://andreswhy.blogspot.com/2011/02/cahokia-amazonia-and-black-death.html
Try potatoes . It helped
before .
Good luck !
Andre
Xxx
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