New Crimean War
Andre Willers
2 Mar 2014
Synopsis:
Attempts to prevent escalation of the Ukrainian conflict by
preventing Western reinforcements via the Dardanelles Straights will lead to
the very escalation it was meant to avoid .
Discussion:
1.See what happened before in 1914 :
Pursuit of Goeben and Breslau
The pursuit of Goeben and Breslau was
a naval action that occurred in the Mediterranean
Sea at the outbreak of the First World Warwhen
elements of the British Mediterranean Fleet attempted
to intercept the German Mittelmeerdivision comprising the battlecruiserSMS Goeben and
the light cruiser SMS Breslau.
The German ships evaded the British fleet and passed through the Dardanelles to
reachConstantinople, where their arrival was a
catalyst that contributed to the Ottoman Empire joining
the Central Powers by issuing adeclaration of war against the Triple Entente.
Though a bloodless "battle", the
failure of the British pursuit had enormous political and
military ramifications—in the words of Winston
Churchill, they brought "more slaughter, more misery, and more
ruin than has ever before been borne within the compass of a ship."[1]
Strategically , preventing access to the Black Sea of Allied
Naval Forces enabled the piecemeal destruction of Russian armies by Germans , not to mention enabling the triumph of Bolshevism
2. The same strategic considerations hold today .
Hence the present political shenanigans in Turkey .
3.Needless to say , Turkey now would not be cowed by a
single battlecruiser .
4. I cannot see any
way of forcing the Dardanelles without using nukes .
5. This essentially means that the Crimea is now a province
of the Russian Union .
That means that the Ukraine is split .
6. The rest is just sound and fury .
Isn’t Geopolitics fun ?
Andre
xxxxx
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