Nova-Luddites .
Andre Willers
9 May 2014
Synopsis :
Owners of “Rights” are evolving into Nova-Luddites under the
relentless onslaught of social media Apps and Ostrum Principles .
Discussion :
0.Historically :
Luddites ( http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Luddite
) were lower-tech workers trying to protect themselves from higher-tech systems
with capital concentration .
Nova-Luddites are high-tech systems (capital concentrations)
trying to protect themselves from simple Social Media Apps , using all the
resources of high concentrations of capital .
Nova-Luddites have failed (eg music industry) , and are
failing . But , like WW I generals , they keep on trying the old recipes .
As expected , the biggest Nova-Luddites are the ones with
the most to lose .
In this case , it is the Bankers .
Concentrating and allocating capital is a very old
technology (our system goes back to classical Rome at least)
Apps are rendering banks obsolete .
Hence , the Nova-Luddite reaction as the Bankers desperately
jerk the teat that feeds them .
Below are some examples :
1.Taxis :
See Appendix A .
This is very neat . In
fact , Uber neat .
2.Accommodation :
Hotels bypassed .
Too numerous to mention .
3. 3D Printing .
At present still a fringe , but rapidly moving to become a
real threat to traditional manufacturing systems .
4. Banks and Ostrum .
Capital (concentration from diverse sources and allocation)
is a Common Good . Hence Ostrum Principles apply (see Appendix B) . (See Marx
and Piketty .)
Expect a Banking Spring . Apps will supplant traditional
bankers .
Sell any banking stocks .
5.Historical analogue : the Postal services .
The Penny Post supplanted the previous http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thurn_und_Taxis
Thurn-und-Taxis were smart enough to diversify and end up as
one of the richest families in Europe .
Not bad for a postman .
But can the same be said of present bankers ?
6. The Singularity :
Can nova-luddites stop or even delay the Singularity ?
They will try , and get crushed for their pains .
Flow like water , not stand like ice .
Steamingly yours
Andre
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Appendix A
London Taxis Plan
10,000-Car Protest Against Uber App Use
By Amy Thomson May 9, 2014 1:31 PM GMT+0200
London’s taxis are planning a 10,000-cab protest next month, as
professional drivers across Europe demonstrate growing opposition to Uber
Technologies Inc.’s app.
The drivers will meet at a yet-to-be-named London landmark in
early June, said Steve McNamara,
the Licensed Taxi Drivers’ Association’s general secretary. Uber’s drivers are
allowed to carry passengers without following the same rules as other services,
giving them an unfair advantage, he said.
The controversial app, which helps private drivers and
professionals charge for rides, has met with protests in several markets from
the taxi industry, whose drivers often pay steep fees for licenses and permits
and complain that San Francisco-based Uber’s cars are given an unfair
advantage.
“All we’re saying is if you want to come to London and operate
the business model you’re operating, you should operate within our laws,”
McNamara said in an interview. “This is about a good old British sense of fair
play. It’s not cricket.”
Uber said it holds the necessary license for private hire cars
in London and adheres to all of Transport for London’s regulations. A TfL
spokesman said yesterday that while it’s investigating Uber’s operating model,
“we have seen no evidence to suggest” that Uber isn’t fit to hold a license.
Photographer: Chris Ratcliffe/Bloomberg
Uber said it holds the necessary license for private hire and
adheres to all of... Read More
Starting
Business
Uber markets itself as a way for drivers to start their own
businesses, showing profiles of top drivers on its website who include a
student who used the app to make money on weekends, a
single
mother
who started her own business and a man who quit his job to drive passengers
around San Francisco. That means it can draw drivers from outside of the
professional chauffeuring industry who may hold different licenses or
qualifications. That’s a key difference from similar apps like Hailo, which
recruit taxi drivers.
mother
who started her own business and a man who quit his job to drive passengers
around San Francisco. That means it can draw drivers from outside of the
professional chauffeuring industry who may hold different licenses or
qualifications. That’s a key difference from similar apps like Hailo, which
recruit taxi drivers.
Cars in Brussels that use the app will be subject to a
10,000-euro ($13,863) fine after a local court ruled against Uber cars last
month. European Commission Vice President Neelie Kroes called
the ban “crazy” and anti-competitive.
In Berlin, the taxi association said that Uber hurt competition
by violating rules that force limousine drivers to return to a base after
delivering customers. In April, a court banned taxi services that use the app,
though the injunction wasn’t enforced at the time.
Paris
Protest
French President Francois Hollande attempted
to impose a 15-minute pickup delay on Uber and other private car services,
which was struck down in February by the constitutional court. Parisian drivers
blocked traffic from airports that month to protest private car services like
Uber, which aren’t required to purchase a taxi permit that costs more than
200,000 euros.
services,
which was struck down in February by the constitutional court. Parisian drivers
blocked traffic from airports that month to protest private car services like
Uber, which aren’t required to purchase a taxi permit that costs more than
200,000 euros.
“For me to persuade 10,000 guys to take a day off work shows you
the strength of feeling,” said McNamara, whose organization represents almost
half of London’s 24,000 cabbies who drive the city’s black taxis. “They’re not
a commercial threat to us. It’s a sense of fair play.”
Specifically, McNamara said that private hire vehicles, such as
Uber’s cars, aren’t allowed to have meters because they’re pre-booked and can
quote a fare in advance. The rule is meant to prevent companies from charging
different amounts or surprising a passenger with an unexpected charge, he said.
Uber’s app includes a meter-like function.
Uber drivers also don’t always have an operators’ license, which
means that they aren’t supposed to take customers’ bookings themselves,
McNamara said.
“Uber is pro rider and pro driver -- we are all about keeping
London moving with our innovative app at great prices,” an Uber spokeswoman
said.
Insurance
Issue
The company is also running into criticism at home. Such apps
are “encouraging non-professional drivers to use their personal vehicles to
drive passengers for a profit, a risk which personal
automobile insurance simply
does not cover,” Commissioner Dave Jones of the California Department of
Insurance said in a statement last month.
simply
does not cover,” Commissioner Dave Jones of the California Department of
Insurance said in a statement last month.
Uber said it already provides a $1 million commercial policy
during trips and $1 million of coverage for uninsured and underinsured motorists.
The company was valued at $3.5 billion in a funding round last
year after raising cash from
Google Inc.’s venture-capital arm and private-equity firm TPG Capital.
from
Google Inc.’s venture-capital arm and private-equity firm TPG Capital.
To contact the reporter on this story: Amy Thomson in London at athomson6@bloomberg.net
To contact the editors responsible for this story: Kenneth Wong
at kwong11@bloomberg.net Mark Beech,
Robert Valpuesta
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Appendix B .
Ostrum Principles :
Saturday, October 29,
2011
The Ostrum Game
Andre Willers
30 Oct 2011
“One Game shall bind them all .” , ( with apologies to Tolkien)
“This time , we know for sure the grass is greener somewhere”
“A Revolution , any Revolution.”
Synopsis :
A Game for Grown-ups .
The Eight Ostrum Design Principles are Meta-rules that generate self-consistent sets of rules that encompasses competition , co-operation , catastrophe , hierarchies and other systems undreamt of , all between discrete , interacting , self-organising systems .
Your avatar can
go from SecondLife to Simworld , to War Worlds , to any desired locale .
Reality becomes a subset .
Discussion :
1.An incredible amount of money can
be made .While money still has some meaning .
Without too much work . See Para 8 in Appendix A
Each Game Company is a base nested institution .
They bind easily together , releasing a lot of energy and money .
Explosive Feedback Synergism .
A run-up to the Singularity .
2.Feedback between Games and Reality :
The Meta-rules make no differentiation between Game-characters and Real-characters .
Indeed , many Real-characters have been spun into Game-characters , and vice-versa .
Think Sherlock Holmes , MacGyver , Gauss , young Werther etc
See “mirror-neuron networks” , any soap opera , etc .
Real-life problems get treated the same way as Game problems . The more diverse and sophisticated the Game interactions become , the more effect on any real or Game system .
Eventually , they become undistinguishable as technology progresses .
3.The Grass is provably greener somewhere .
Long known as a wishful thinking fallacy , until Ostrum published the Design Principles in 1990 .
This was the trigger event of under-the-surface knowledge about Ostrum Rules building up .
Suddenly , it became possible .
A Phase-change in the noosphere occurred .
It meant that a Disaster of the Commons or an Empire was not inevitable . Grandchildren could survive .
WE CAN MAKE THE GRASS GREENER , EVEN IF WE HAVE TO PAINT IT ONE BLADE AT A TIME .
Enormous tensions began surfacing . These effects are still playing out now .
A really , really major Hysterical Focus started forming , and is still intensifying .
Now , are you surprised that 1990 was the year of huge revolutions , when the USSR collapsed ?
The Ostrum Game beat the Ring of Power .
And you have not seen anything yet .
The pace of Revolutions is intensifying .
A good thing , if Homo wishes to escape extinction .
4.Automating Ostrum Rules :
They might be Meta-rules , but they are still rules .
We can certainly write programs that can serve to guide past most of the pitfalls and suggest alternatives .
5.Multicellular Bodies as Commons :
We can certainly analyze bodies in terms of Commons . The Dear Reader will find many interesting things if he does that .
Note the emphasis on communication .
Talk to your body . Aloud . And listen in the silences in between .
Create a virtual body and note the interactions .
Use the Ostrum Design principles .
6.Singularity :
It is immediately obvious that humans are then not limited to Real biochemical definitions of personality . The emphasis on communication means that personalities are distributed across Real and Game spaces . The Game space personality segments are only limited by internal non-contradictory rules . That can be done via Ostrum Design principles .
Not exactly instantaneous , but I can intuit that the time can be calculated . It would be less than real time .
The putative developing system would have ethical constraints on abandoning Real-part personalities under Ostrum Rules .
Told you it would be kindler , gentler .
7.Phase Change :
The system has already undergone an irrevocable phase change in 1990 .
You can fast-forward the rest .
8.Did Ostrum know what she was unleashing ?
The Revolutionary aspects , nearly certainly .
In her quiet way , she is one of the greatest Revolutionaries in Homo Sapiens history . Worthy of being called a Matriarch .
The Singularity aspect is more uncertain . She certainly knew that she unleashed major fairness , but the phase-change in the Noosphere I do not know .
Still , a tour-de-force .
How do feel like being a pet of your avatar ?
Andre .
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Appendix A
See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elinor_Ostrom
To quote from Wiki : (comments in brackets are my own ).
“ Ostrom identifies eight "design principles" of stable local common pool resource management:[10]
1. Clearly defined boundaries (effective exclusion of external un-entitled parties;
2. Rules regarding the appropriation and provision of common resources that are adapted to local conditions; (Equal sharing of debts and rewards)
3. Collective-choice arrangements that allow most resource appropriators to participate in
the decision-making process; (Consensus decisions-no leveraged hierarchies)
4. Effective monitoring by monitors who are part of or accountable to the appropriators; (Policing)
5. A scale of graduated sanctions for resource appropriators who violate community rules; (Opportunity to learn from mistakes )
6. Mechanisms of conflict resolution that are cheap and of easy access; (Fair and Fast Justice . See how Inquisitorial Justice systems like Chinese , French or Sharia does it.)
7. Self-determination of the community recognized by higher-level authorities; (Autonomy within clearly defined levels . Something like a Federation.)
8. In the case of larger common-pool resources,organization in the form of multiple layers of nested enterprises, with small local CPRs at the base level. (Clear and quick relations with others. A potential sticky point with states.)
Governing the Commons: The Evolution of Institutions for Collective Action Ostrom, Elinor, Cambridge University Press, 1990 “
The most important book in the Twentieth Century .
Try to read it .
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Andre Willers
30 Oct 2011
“One Game shall bind them all .” , ( with apologies to Tolkien)
“This time , we know for sure the grass is greener somewhere”
“A Revolution , any Revolution.”
Synopsis :
A Game for Grown-ups .
The Eight Ostrum Design Principles are Meta-rules that generate self-consistent sets of rules that encompasses competition , co-operation , catastrophe , hierarchies and other systems undreamt of , all between discrete , interacting , self-organising systems .
Your avatar
can
go from SecondLife to Simworld , to War Worlds , to any desired locale .Reality becomes a subset .
Discussion :
1.An incredible amount of money
can
be made .While money still has some meaning .Without too much work . See Para 8 in Appendix A
Each Game Company is a base nested institution .
They bind easily together , releasing a lot of energy and money .
Explosive Feedback Synergism .
A run-up to the Singularity .
2.Feedback between Games and Reality :
The Meta-rules make no differentiation between Game-characters and Real-characters .
Indeed , many Real-characters have been spun into Game-characters , and vice-versa .
Think Sherlock Holmes , MacGyver , Gauss , young Werther etc
See “mirror-neuron networks” , any soap opera , etc .
Real-life problems get treated the same way as Game problems . The more diverse and sophisticated the Game interactions become , the more effect on any real or Game system .
Eventually , they become undistinguishable as technology progresses .
3.The Grass is provably greener somewhere .
Long known as a wishful thinking fallacy , until Ostrum published the Design Principles in 1990 .
This was the trigger event of under-the-surface knowledge about Ostrum Rules building up .
Suddenly , it became possible .
A Phase-change in the noosphere occurred .
It meant that a Disaster of the Commons or an Empire was not inevitable . Grandchildren could survive .
WE CAN MAKE THE GRASS GREENER , EVEN IF WE HAVE TO PAINT IT ONE BLADE AT A TIME .
Enormous tensions began surfacing . These effects are still playing out now .
A really , really major Hysterical Focus started forming , and is still intensifying .
Now , are you surprised that 1990 was the year of huge revolutions , when the USSR collapsed ?
The Ostrum Game beat the Ring of Power .
And you have not seen anything yet .
The pace of Revolutions is intensifying .
A good thing , if Homo wishes to escape extinction .
4.Automating Ostrum Rules :
They might be Meta-rules , but they are still rules .
We can certainly write programs that can serve to guide past most of the pitfalls and suggest alternatives .
5.Multicellular Bodies as Commons :
We can certainly analyze bodies in terms of Commons . The Dear Reader will find many interesting things if he does that .
Note the emphasis on communication .
Talk to your body . Aloud . And listen in the silences in between .
Create a virtual body and note the interactions .
Use the Ostrum Design principles .
6.Singularity :
It is immediately obvious that humans are then not limited to Real biochemical definitions of personality . The emphasis on communication means that personalities are distributed across Real and Game spaces . The Game space personality segments are only limited by internal non-contradictory rules . That can be done via Ostrum Design principles .
Not exactly instantaneous , but I can intuit that the time can be calculated . It would be less than real time .
The putative developing system would have ethical constraints on abandoning Real-part personalities under Ostrum Rules .
Told you it would be kindler , gentler .
7.Phase Change :
The system has already undergone an irrevocable phase change in 1990 .
You can fast-forward the rest .
8.Did Ostrum know what she was unleashing ?
The Revolutionary aspects , nearly certainly .
In her quiet way , she is one of the greatest Revolutionaries in Homo Sapiens history . Worthy of being called a Matriarch .
The Singularity aspect is more uncertain . She certainly knew that she unleashed major fairness , but the phase-change in the Noosphere I do not know .
Still , a tour-de-force .
How do feel like being a pet of your avatar ?
Andre .
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
Appendix A
See http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Elinor_Ostrom
To quote from Wiki : (comments in brackets are my own ).
“ Ostrom identifies eight "design principles" of stable local common pool resource management:[10]
1. Clearly defined boundaries (effective exclusion of external un-entitled parties;
2. Rules regarding the appropriation and provision of common resources that are adapted to local conditions; (Equal sharing of debts and rewards)
3. Collective-choice arrangements that allow most resource appropriators to participate
in
the decision-making process; (Consensus decisions-no leveraged hierarchies)4. Effective monitoring by monitors who are part of or accountable to the appropriators; (Policing)
5. A scale of graduated sanctions for resource appropriators who violate community rules; (Opportunity to learn from mistakes )
6. Mechanisms of conflict resolution that are cheap and of easy access; (Fair and Fast Justice . See how Inquisitorial Justice systems like Chinese , French or Sharia does it.)
7. Self-determination of the community recognized by higher-level authorities; (Autonomy within clearly defined levels . Something like a Federation.)
8. In the case of larger common-pool resources,organization in the form of multiple layers of nested enterprises, with small local CPRs at the base level. (Clear and quick relations with others. A potential sticky point with states.)
Governing the Commons: The Evolution of Institutions for Collective Action Ostrom, Elinor, Cambridge University Press, 1990 “
The most important book in the Twentieth Century .
Try to read it .
xxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxxx
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