Optimized Censorship

Optimized Censorship
Andre Willers
27 Feb 2011

"What can't be killed must be managed" AW

Synopsis :
Optimal censorship involves balancing the advantages of free communication against the disadvantages . This can be optimally done by monitoring or blipping a random 1/3 of traffic , with a hot-pursuit element . Already implemented in China (Feb 2011)

Discussion :
Societies need free interchange of information , but also needs to inhibit
1.Enemy and criminal action
2.Hysterical frenzies (the major danger with humans)

Look at the error arguments in http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "NewTools : Infinite Probes" Nov 2008

Item 1.Enemy and criminal action
These need some organization , hence Reserve arguments in NewTools apply .
The state needs only to disrupt the reserve of the opposition organizations .
This means it only needs to monitor a random 1/3 of message traffic , with a hot-pursuit following up promising leads .The random element means that the enemy or criminals must guard every communication , in itself a suspicious activity .

Item 2.Hysterical frenzies (the major danger with humans)
We have just seen this in Northern Africa (Tunisia ,Egypt ,Libya) with more to follow.
These states tried to smother the communications media (internet , facebook , cellphones ,twitter , etc) by forcing the service providers to deny service .

This did not work .
The main lesson thus learned the hard way : Information and rumours routed around blocks . The overpopulated cities meant that everybody is in earshot of everybody else . And somebody always has a satellite phone .
Rumours exploded . The government would have been better off if allowed normal communications , but blipped out a random 1/3 of it . The truth would have filtered through , but the momentum of the hysterical rumours would have been broken .

Hysterical Focus :
To quote from
http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "Financial Crisis 3 Sep 2010"
"The Hysterical Focus is the mechanism whereby Humans determine large-scale directions of collective effort .
See http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "Inside the ignition of an hysterical focus"
Internal revolution is a much more likely route ."

No need to lie . Truths broken into pieces soothes the savage human breast while they assemble the truth in Hysterical Focus .

Once a Hysterical Focus has ignited , blackout does not work .
It can be managed by delaying selected communication channels . Blipping out a random 1/3 of all messages , but allowing a slightly smaller than 1/3 blipping for approved networks will biase the Hysterical Focus . Don't try to lie about it . Simply say what you are doing it and why . Enough people will agree to allow the bias to operate .

Hysterical Foci learning process .
I have noticed that Hysterical Foci have become more sophisticated . They have learned from previous experiences , especially the Eastern European collapse of the USSR .

Self-assembling smart-crowd .
Remember , this is not a system with Leaders . It is more like a flash-crowd . A self-assembling smart-crowd . The filaments containing the smart elements are in the connection media , with temporary storage in the wetware of humans .
Now you see why blackouts of the media did not work .
The human element remembers and seeks reconnection . This cannot be stopped . (From historical examples , in any case) . But it can be managed , delayed and diverted .

Why do I even publish this ?

Well , a Hysterical Focus is not unalloyed bliss . It has an annoying habit of taking on a life of its own , usually ending in Reigns of Terror . Robespierre , Napoleon , Lenin , Stalin , Hitler , Mao , etc . You get the drift . Populist fervor morphs into a cloud of dread .
But this process can be managed . The Leadership model can't seem to manage , mainly because the Leader that has to manage it is also the same one who wants to subvert it to his own ends .

A note of tribute to Kemal Ataturk . The only Leader in the 19th century that did it correctly . It means that it can be managed .

Hence the evolution of the present self-assembling flash crowd , with memory in media interconnections and humans .

This has already led to the demise of the USSR , the most heavily armed state in history , without a shot being fired . The present (Feb 2011) little squabbles in North Africa and the forthcoming ones in Saudi-Arabia are a bit ho-hum and predictable .

China .
After a close shave with Tianenmen , they seem to have realized that a military or traditional censorship method will not work in future .

I noted with amazement on 27 Feb 2011 that ISP censorship from China has been relaxed nearly completely . I presume mechanisms like blipping out 1/3 of traffic in case of Hysterical Foci forming are in place .After all , they read this blog too .
The basic principles are clear .

Other states at Risk :
USA :
Most citizens are two monthly paychecks away from the street , where they are classified as vagrants and criminalized .
(See http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "Inverse Anthropomorphism : Human Rights")
They form a majority potential flash crowd . Very dangerous .
The USA faces a potential "Egypt style" flash-crowd revolt , with the armed forces remaining neutral while the civilian structure is being remodeled . A delicate little matter would be the large mercenary forces("contractors") that have been allowed to concentrate outside the control of Congress .

They should seriously consider different Economic Zones .

EU
Permanent state of revolution . Everybody runs around waving the Chairman's little book , but the pages are blank .

Africa :
All are at risk . High cellphone usage , combined with big discrepancies between promises and deliveries , as well as a complete incompetence in even basic security arrangements , make all these states vulnerable .

South Africa :
There have been numerous flash-crowd phenomena , usually denigrated as "service delivery " riots . If only . These are warning signs .

The RSA military (about 1 million private security , 200 000 police and 50 000 soldiers) are not co-ordinated at all . In case of a Egyptian-style revolt , the soldiers (who have the heavy weapons) would side with the protesters , as would 3/4 of the police .

The private security are basically mercenaries , outside state control The major control on them (like now with Libya) is money and fear of future prosecution by the International Court in the Hague . Serbia has taught these cowboys that International Law has teeth .

See http://andreswhy.blogspot.com "Emperor Zuma" Oct 2010 et al
The only way for the State to avoid Civil War is external war , but hopefully in moderation . Overreach will end up like the Third Reich .

South America :
The locals have been mainly characterized by divisiveness , exploited mercilessly by numerically inferior Europeans .
Always ripe for revolution , but if the USA has major problems , there will be a hot time in the old town .

India :
The complete incompetence of the Middle East and Indian sub-continent to control their populations will force India into wars of defence against Pakistan et al , as well as wars of colonial aggression against African states .
They already have long-term leases on many millions of hectares of the best agricultural land in eastern Africa ..
Does this sound familiar?
We've been through it before with the British Empire and WW I

Australia :
The continent is grossly overpopulated (at present about 22 million). It can feed at most 3 million , less when the unfolding debacle of the MacKenzie basin leads to the final salt-desert of formerly lush fields . (This is due to known effects (over-irrigation on a salt substrate) , but overridden by human greed .)

States in this predicament usually sell what they have in abundance . In this case humans . But unskilled humans have no market value . Hence mercenaries . A three month course can train a wimpy Sydney dweller into a Banzai Buckaroo . Contracted off to Iraq , Afghanistan or some other hell-hole of your choice . AK fodder .

Will they revolt ?
Not in going . The returnees usually got no hearing , but this has changed
All this has been going on for some time .(Since the 1950's)

Self-assembling smart-crowd of all the millions of returnee veterans of Vietnam , Laos , Singapore , Iraq , Iran will be abrupt , violent and messy .

Australia has quietly changed into a mercenary soldier state (like Hesse in 18th Century ) .
Nobody said anything .
But a lot of chickens are about to come home .

As they say in Norstrilia :
"We welcome immigrants . Our Defence Forces need the practice."

Stroon anyone ?

Andre