Failed State USA ?
9 Sep 2014
Is the USA a Failed State ?.
1.Is USA a failed state ?
It has been seen as a failing state since 1973 . The two main reasons are :
1.1 Defense : Contractors were begun to be used instead of citizens after Vietnam .
1.2 Maintain : Stepping down from the gold standard opened the gates to loss of fiscal and manufacturing control to self-interest groups .
1.3 The US State Dept , CIA , Defense Dept has written the Republic of USA off as a failed state and is busily fighting among each other about what should be the successor . (See Wars of Diadochi http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wars_of_the_Diadochi )
The State has two primary functions:
1.Defend itself .
2.Use taxes to get the money to defend itself .
If it cannot do these two elementary functions , it is a failed state .
Active 1.4 million , (mostly garrison) (3/10)
Reservists 0.85 million (doing the actual fighting) (7/10)
Total 2.2 million
Personpower pool 120 million .
Cost 5% of GDP
Rating weighting calc : R=(0.3*1.4+0.7*0.85) / (1.4+0.85)
Rating R = (4/10)
Total about 4 million as set out below . (1/10)
Security guards 1 million . http://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes339032.htm
Prison guards 0.5 million
Law Enforcement 1.1 million
Militia +- 1 million
PMSC (Private Military Service Companies) ? +- 0.5 million
Rating weighting calc : R=(0.1*4+0.4*2.2) / (4+2.2)
Defence Rating (2/10)
There is also political interference .
Politicians are using IRS against their opponents , a process leading to tax evasion and eventually tax revolt . http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_allegations_of_misuse_of_the_Internal_Revenue_Service
Big Money evades tax while the middle class is eviscecrated .
Essential State functions:
PEssential =(2+1) / 10 = 0.3
3. The other State Functions:
The State is supposed to do large scale things outside private enterprise .
1.Education . A lamentable failure .
Rating (3/10) . Official stats .
Rating (5/10) At present
Rating (3/10) . (LA , Las Vegas etc)
Rating (3/10) can’t be better than water .
5.1 Roads .
5.2 Railways .
5.3 Pipelines .
5.4 Ports .
A disaster . Obamacare
Inflation , droughts .
9 Security of land tenure
10 Security of intellectual property rights
11. Water provision future
12. Financial systems .
Antiquated , poorly controlled , poor security . Open to abuse
These express existing conditions . It will get worse .
4. Summing up :
Essential State functions:
POther= 68/160= 0.425
PState= (0.3 + 0.425)/2 =0.3625
A failed state would be if PState <0 .33="" o:p="">0>
A succesful state would be if PState >0.66
The USA is not quite a failed state , but it is nearly there .
The State is failing .
Basically , the State is has lost control of the use of armed force and of the financial systems .
This puts the essential state functions at risk .
The Civilians are propping up the state . As they withdraw their support , a civil war between Civilians and State can result as tax revolts spread .
6. Please redo the calculation after massaging the figures to fit pre-conceptions .
After all , that is how this mess arose in the first place .
“Uncle Sam ! Get well soon ! We really need you around the farm.”