Failed State USA ?
Andre
Willers
9 Sep 2014
Synopsis :
Is the USA
a Failed State ?.
Discussion
:
1.Is USA a
failed state ?
.
It has been
seen as a failing state since 1973 . The two main reasons are :
1.1 Defense
: Contractors were begun to be used instead of citizens after Vietnam .
1.2 Maintain
: Stepping down from the gold standard opened the gates to loss of fiscal and manufacturing
control to self-interest groups .
1.3 The US
State Dept , CIA , Defense Dept has
written the Republic of USA off as a failed state and is busily fighting among
each other about what should be the successor . (See Wars of Diadochi http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wars_of_the_Diadochi
)
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2.Argument
:
The State
has two primary functions:
1.Defend
itself .
2.Use taxes
to get the money to defend itself .
If it
cannot do these two elementary functions , it is a failed state .
PrimaryFunctions
1.Defence
Active 1.4
million , (mostly garrison) (3/10)
Reservists
0.85 million (doing the actual fighting) (7/10)
Total 2.2
million
Personpower
pool 120 million .
Cost 5% of
GDP
Rating
weighting calc : R=(0.3*1.4+0.7*0.85) / (1.4+0.85)
Rating R =
(4/10)
xx
2.Private
armies
Total about
4 million as set out below . (1/10)
Security
guards 1 million . http://www.bls.gov/oes/current/oes339032.htm
Prison
guards 0.5 million
Law
Enforcement 1.1 million
Militia +- 1 million
PMSC
(Private Military Service Companies)
? +- 0.5 million
Xxx
Rating
weighting calc : R=(0.1*4+0.4*2.2) / (4+2.2)
Defence Rating
(2/10)
xx
2.IRS
There is
also political interference .
Politicians
are using IRS against their opponents , a process leading to tax evasion and
eventually tax revolt . http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_allegations_of_misuse_of_the_Internal_Revenue_Service
Big Money
evades tax while the middle class is eviscecrated .
Rating (1/10)
Essential
State functions:
PEssential
=(2+1) / 10 = 0.3
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3. The
other State Functions:
The State
is supposed to do large scale things outside private enterprise .
See http://www.infrastructurereportcard.org/grades/
1.Education
. A lamentable failure .
Rating
(3/10) . Official stats .
2.Power
Rating (5/10)
At present
3.Water
Rating (3/10)
. (LA , Las Vegas etc)
4 Sewerage
Rating (3/10) can’t be better than water .
5.Transport
:
5.1 Roads .
Rating (5/10)
5.2
Railways .
Rating (5/10)
5.3
Pipelines .
Rating (5/10)
5.4 Ports .
Rating
(6/10)
5.5
Airports
Rating (6/10)
6. Health
A disaster
. Obamacare
Rating
(2/10)
7. Justice
Rating (5/10)
8 Food.
Inflation ,
droughts .
Rating (3/10)
9 Security
of land tenure
Rating
(8/10)
10 Security
of intellectual property rights
Rating (8/10)
11. Water
provision future
Rating (3/10)
12.
Financial systems .
Antiquated
, poorly controlled , poor security . Open to abuse
Rating (1/10)
These
express existing conditions . It will get worse .
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4. Summing up :
Essential
State functions:
PEssential
=0.3
Other :
POther=
68/160= 0.425
PState=
(0.3 + 0.425)/2 =0.3625
A failed
state would be if PState <0 .33="" o:p="">
A succesful
state would be if PState >0.66
The USA is
not quite a failed state , but it is nearly there .
The State
is failing .
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5.
Conclusion
Basically ,
the State is has lost control of the use of armed force and of the financial
systems .
This puts
the essential state functions at risk .
The
Civilians are propping up the state . As they withdraw their support , a civil
war between Civilians and State can result as tax revolts spread .
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6. Please
redo the calculation after massaging the figures to fit pre-conceptions .
After all ,
that is how this mess arose in the first place .
“Uncle Sam
! Get well soon ! We really need you around the farm.”
Regards
Andre
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