Thursday, January 15, 2015

WW 2.75. This month

War seems more and more likely . A replay of 1914 

Nato troops and heavy armament (nuke level) are pouring into Baltics .
Poor Belarus is smack in the middle .

WW 2.75 
Good tank country. No mor e fooling around with asymmetric warfare .
The threat is a pincer to St Petersburg  (a-la-Crimean War) the Oblique Offensive .

Russia is of course strengthening Belarus , and weakening EU logistics by cutting of the gas .
This advantage will disappear by summer , so expect a pre-emptive  attack on Poland to pressurise Germany.

When? Expect a decapitation strike at Davos . Now,actually . Probably false flagged as ISIS.
Then good old fashioned Blitzkrieg in Europe.

And if you don't toe the line , you freeze .
The Gas Empire as a variant of Water Empires .

The good Swiss got wind of this , and good global citizens that they are , immediately cut their losses (about $60bn) and decoupled from the Euro (soon to be defunct)

"Don't send your daughter to Davos , Mrs Jones" 


On 15 Jan 2015, at 7:13 PM, "andre willers" wrote:
This probably means war. Or some very hardboiled bargaining.
But note US influx of elite frontline forces in the Baltic 

Germany and France will freeze.
No wonder the canny Swiss untangled the Swiss Frank from the Euro.

Interesting times

Breaking news: Russia will completely stop the delivery of gaz through the Ukraine

First, I was a little skeptical. Then more and more sources confirmed what seems to be a fact: Russia will completely stop the delivery of gaz through the Ukraine and all Russian gaz will now flow through Turkey (see Bloomberg and LifeNews). Not only that, but the Russians have told the Europeans that if they want Russian gaz, they will have to build their own pipeline to Turkey at pay for it all.

The Europeans appear to be shell-shocked. Maros Sefcovic, the European Commission’s vice president for energy union, declared that this decision made "no economic sense".  As if the nonstop economic and political warfare waged by the EU against Russia did make any sense!

I can image the faces of the Eurobureaucrats when Alexei Miller, the head of Gazprom, told them that "now it is up to them to put in place the necessary infrastructure starting from the Turkish-Greek border” while the Russian Energy Minister Novak added that "the decision has been made, we are diversifying and eliminating the risks of unreliable countries that caused problems in past years, including for European consumers.” 

In other words, the EU just lost it all and so did the Ukraine.  Keep in mind that the EU has no other options then to purchase the Russian gas from Turkey while Russia can simply do without gaz exports to Europe because China has already signed a contract covering the exact same amount of gaz and possibly much more. 

Let's see now how the infinitely corrupt, arrogant, criminally irresponsible European elites will cope with an agriculture choking in useless surplus stocks, a society waging ideological war on 1.6 billion Muslims, and now with no energy.

The always irreplaceable Poles have come up with a brilliant strategy it appears: they will "not really" invite Putin to the commemoration of the liberation of Auschwitz even though Auschwitz was liberated by the Soviet military.  I am sure that Putin will be both impressed and heartbroken.

Nowadays every time I hear any news out of Europe, I always think that Victoria Nuland's famous "f**k the EU" and how Boris Johnson, the Mayor of London, called his colleagues the "great supine protoplasmic invertebrate jellies". I share exactly the same sentiments: let them "Charlies" now freeze in their own pathetic mediocrity.

The Saker


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