Neo-Vikings
Andre Willers
8 Feb 2014
Synopsis:
Raid-or-Trade is coming back in fashion as social orders
collapses .
Discussion :
1.Climate shifts cause social disruptions .
2.This causes degradation in defence capabibilties .
3.Opportunistic raiders take advantage .
4.Past :
4.1Sea Peoples
or
4.2 Vikings
Essentially , climate change weakened civilized defensive
systems and also forced barbarians to go a-Viking .
“Modern history has its origins in the tumultuous 6th and
7th centuries. During this period agricultural failures and the emergence of
the
plague contributed to: (1) the demise of ancient super
cities, old Persia, Indonesian civilizations, the Nasca culture of South
America,
and southern Arabian civilizations; (2) the schism of the
Roman Empire with the conception of many nation states and the re-birth of
a united China; and (3) the origin and spread of Islam while
Arian Christianity disappeared. In his book, Catastrophe An Investigation
into the Origins of the Modern World, author David Keys
explores history and archaeology to link all of these human upheavals to
climate destabilization brought on by a natural catastrophe,
with strong evidence from tree-ring and ice-core data that it occurred in
535 AD. With no supporting evidence for an impact-related
event, I worked with Keys to narrow down the possibilities for a volcanic
eruption that could affect both hemispheres and bring about
several decades of disrupted climate patterns, most notably colder and
drier weather in Europe and Asia, where descriptions of
months with diminished sun light, persistent cold, and anomalous summer
snow falls are recorded in 6th-century written accounts.”
4.3 Formosans
Something similar happened (from genetic evidence) in
Formosa to trigger the population of the Pacific Islands .
Other cultural traits
often point to Taiwan as the strong link in spreading Australasian-speaking
people and their traditions through Southeast Asia and the Pacific.
Indeed Australasian
people migrated via extraordinary maritime journeys as far as Madagascar in the
west, Easter Island in the east, Hawaii in the north and New Zealand in the
south. These migrants propagated their cultural traditions, often modified to
suit local conditions
and
preferences.
and
preferences.
- See
more at:
http://australianmuseum.net.au/BlogPost/Science/Our-Global-Neighbours-Pacific-culture-ancestry-in-Formosa#sthash.gm3tTliE.dpuf
5.Future :
5.1 States lose the control of armed force .
This has already happened . Private security (essentially
private armies ) ( cf Condottierry) offers services to wealthy individuals
whishing to escape .
5.2 The traditional route to escape these troubles is by sea
. But with newish technology , you need a fleet . Single ships simply won’t
hack it .
5.3 Postulated
Scenario :
Social order in RSA collapses .
The region is wealthy . It has a large shipbuilding industry
. Also large private security companies.
Armed to the teeth , with very sophisticated logistics .
People flee via ships . They have to survive . They arm .
They can only survive in large groups with heavy arms . Funding then has to be
done via Viking-type raid-settlement-trade .
Do not worry about the primitive Somali pirates .
South African pirates fleets will be much worse , although a
bit more professional .
I did not expect this .
But should have .
Oh Well .
Andre
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