Tuesday, October 28, 2014

The New Black Death

The New Black Death

Andre Willers
28 Oct 2014
Synopsis :
Ebola fits the profile for a new Black Death Pandemic .
Discussion :
1.Ebola can be transmitted in aerosols for at least 20 feet .
Experiments done in April 2014 by MIT

“If you ignored the presence of the gas cloud, your first guess would be that larger drops go farther than the smaller ones, and travel at most a couple of meters,” Bush says. “But by elucidating the dynamics of the gas cloud, we have shown that there’s a circulation within the cloud — the smaller drops can be swept around and resuspended by the eddies within a cloud, and so settle more slowly. Basically, small drops can be carried a great distance by this gas cloud while the larger drops fall out. So you have a reversal in the dependence of range on size.”

“Specifically, the study finds that droplets 100 micrometers — or millionths of a meter — in diameter travel five times farther than previously estimated, while droplets 10 micrometers in diameter travel 200 times farther. Droplets less than 50 micrometers in size can frequently remain airborne long enough to reach ceiling ventilation units.”

2.     13 % of Ebola victims do not develop a fever .

“In fact, in a study published online in late September by the New England Journal of Medicine and backed by the World Health Organization, 3,343 confirmed and 667 probable cases of Ebola were analyzed, and nearly 13 percent of the time, those infected with Ebola exhibited no fever at all.

The profile of the Black Death :
Latent Period from time of infection : 10 - 12 days
Infectious period (after latent period)before the appearance of symptoms : 20 - 22 days Incubation period before symptoms ( sum of above) : approx 32 days Average period displaying symptoms before death : 5 days Total infectious period : approx 22 + 5 = 27 days
Time to death from infection : approx 37 days .

Aerosol form (pneumonic) about 50% contagious .
Untreated mortality 80%-90%

4.Ebola profile :

Ebola has 2-21 ,(usually 10 ) days before symptoms , but it is often infectious during this period  .
 Time to death 5-7 days after symptoms if untreated .

Aerosol form nearly 100% contagious , judging from medical personnel with even the slightest exposure .
Untreated mortality about 60%

5.Worst Case Scenario :
Black Death : Deaths 50% of 90% = 45%  (about 100 to 200 million worldwide)
Ebola : Deaths 60% of 100% = 60% (4 billion people potentially , with many more due to war , famine , etc)

6. Important note :
It does not matter how long the symptomless infectious period is as long as it lasts more than 24 hours .
It only affects the speed of spread .
With aircraft and humans being too greedy to limit travel , we face a Worst Case Scenario

7. What can you do ?

8. Small , tight , heavily armed , xenophobic vertically integrated communities will tend to survive .
Virtual tourism and sex will become very big .
Pilots will need armed escorts .

The Internet will be the dominant force , overriding national concerns .
If Governments were hoping to extend their control , they will find the opposite happening .
After the Black Death , the social order in Europe collapsed . The Roman Catholic Church was nearly destroyed and endemic warfare and peasant rebellions
bubbled up all over .

Expect the same , only more so .

9.This can still be avoided if strict quarantine is enforced .
But humans are too fractious .

10 The safest places :
Small farming towns near large military bases .
If this sounds suspiciously like the period at the end of the Western Roman Empire , it is because the present society is already over-stretched and close to collapse from
Overpopulation , resource depletion , pollution , mismanagement , over-complification , you-name-it .
Many seem to welcome it , not realizing they and nearly everyone they know and love will soon be in the charnel pits .

Mass hysteria . Mass lynchings of politicians , doctors , scientists , pilots , bankers , the wealthy .
Fundamentalism grows . Expect resumption of the Crusades . (Remember the 100 years War happened in similar circumstances)

Good luck .

Now is the time for the Rogue Swan to come to the rescue .


Appendix A

The time to panic is before the Titanic has left the harbour .See

If the Triffids don't get you, Ebola will : see

Plants have been breeding humans . See

Further examples of the Plant-Herbivore Wars :

http://andreswhy.blogspot.com/2013/07/rabies-alzheimers-and-formic-acid....     Notice the cute trick to penetrate skin barriers . Reminiscent of hemorrhagic diseases like Ebola and Especially SuperEbola .

SuperEbola is Ebola on steroids , then add some . The Fifth Horseman on a Harley !  : see

for the desperate . : See

or try hiding :

Communication has tobe tightly controlled

Try potatoes . It helped before .

Good luck !

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